News & Analysis

COTD: AUDCHF – Bearish Channel Dictates Trend

October 27, 2020
AUDCHF – 4HR

AUDCHF –

When looking at the daily chart for AUDCHF, there certainly appears to be signs of a bearish breakout building up for the pair. It’s more of a longer-term trend that looks set to grind the price lower during the upcoming sessions. However, in today’s Chart of The Day, we’ll concentrate on the four-hour time frame as its price action offers us more significant talking points.

Straight away, what stands out is this bearish channel that began towards the end of last month. Price action for AUDCHF is respecting both the channel support and resistance and reacting to weekly pivot levels marked in blue.

The most recent bounce up from 0.6371 continues the trend before finding substantial resistance around 0.6460 and settling at the weekly pivot of 0.6440. Should the pair attempt to move higher, there seems to be considerable resistance above 0.6500 as the price would converge with the top of the channel and the previous weekly pivot.

For a slightly different viewpoint, I’ve included the same chart below, only using the Ichimoku cloud indicator instead. Even this chart suggests a strong band of resistance above 0.65 due to the cloud’s thickness. And the past few candles are struggling to breach this area. Due to these observations, I suspect we may see a period of consolidation around 0.6440 before a quick re-test of lower levels again, such as 0.64 and 0.6350, respectively.

Note: Click on charts to enlarge.

 

By Adam Taylor CTEe

.@adamt_trading

Sources: Go Markets, Meta Trader 5, TradingView, Bloomberg

Disclaimer: The articles are from GO Markets analysts,  based on their independent analysis or personal experiences. Views or opinions or trading styles expressed are of their own;  should not be taken as either representative of or shared by GO Markets.  Advice (if any),  are of a ‘general’ nature and not based on your personal objectives, financial situation or needs.  You should therefore consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to your objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.  If the advice relates to acquiring a particular financial product, you should obtain and consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Financial Services Guide (FSG) for that product before making any decisions.

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