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Forex
FX Analysis – USD whipsaws , AUDNZD hits new lows, Gold holds key support
USD was ultimately flat in Thursdays session after a rollercoaster of a ride, DXY printed a low in the European session of 103.43 before rallying up to the 100 Day SMA at 104.10 after better than expected US Jobless claims. Flash PMIs for February were mixed with a fall in Services but a rise in Manufacturing, DXY heading into the APAC session ju...
February 23, 2024
Read More > Market analysis – NVDA rips higher on earnings, Gold holds key support, NZD outperforms
The much awaited NVDA Q4 earnings didn’t disappoint with the tech giant knocking it out of the park, handily beating analysts' expectations on the top and bottom lines. For the quarter, Nvidia reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.16 on revenue of $22.1 billion. Analysts were expecting EPS of $4.60 on revenue of $20.4 billion. For c...
February 22, 2024
Read More > NVDA earnings preview – AI mania put to the test
The most anticipated US earnings announcement is coming up with NVDA due to report fiscal Quarter ending Jan 2024 earnings after the Wednesday US market close. NVDA has seen a meteoric rise, quintupling in 2023 and up more than 40% so far in 2024, being the number one stock riding AI mania, making this earnings report one that all investors will be...
February 21, 2024
Read More > FX analysis – USD drops ahead of FOMC minutes, CAD falls on cool CPI, AUD and NZD supported by PBoC decision
USD sold off in Tuesdays session after US traders returned from holiday. DXY falling for a 5th straight session after finding stiff resistance at the psychological 105 level and breaking below its 100 DMA before finding some support at the 200 DMA before retracing somewhat as market risk sentiment soured during the US equity session. Lower yields a...
February 21, 2024
Read More > FX analysis – AUDUSD at key resistance ahead of RBA minutes and wage data
With the US closed for a holiday FX markets on Monday struggled to find much direction though China re-opening in the green after an extended leave did lend some support to the Aussie dollar ahead of todays RBA minutes. The February 6th RBA meeting saw a statement that had a bit of both ways, acknowledging broad progress on the inflation front but ...
February 20, 2024
Read More > FX Analysis – USD dips , GBP falls on cool CPI, JPY jawboning , EUR up on data
USD dipped in Wednesday’s session after the CPI inspired surge on Tuesday. The US dollar index (DXY) hitting resistance at the 105 level and dropping to a low of 104.65. Reports of Fed Chair Powell downplaying Tuesday's hotter than expected CPI along with the Fed's Goolsbee stating US inflation is still consistent with the Fed's path back to targ...
February 15, 2024
Read More > FX Analysis – USDJPY holds key level, AUDNZD has best day of year, USD quiet ahead of CPI
USD Dollar saw mild strength in Monday’s session, DXY trading either side of the psychological 104.00 level but again being capped to the upside by the 100-day SMA resistance. The was little in the way of a catalyst with no tier one data released, that will change today with US CPI figures released, which will help market participants and the Fed...
February 13, 2024
Read More > The Week Ahead – US CPI, Aussie employment and the charts to watch
With FX markets being pushed and pulled by market participants betting on when the major central banks are going to start cutting rates (or not) FX traders have some important risk events that will influence those expectations to negotiate this week. CPI and retail sales headline in the US, Aussie traders have the January Jobs report and for Sterli...
February 12, 2024
Read More > FX Analysis – AUD, NZD drop on China data ,USD up, JPY underperforms, EUR whipsaws
USD saw gains on Thursday with the US Dollar index (DXY) pushing above 104 before again finding resistance at the 100-day SMA. A rise in UST yields after a better than expected jobless claims figures. In data ahead Dollar traders will be focussing on the US CPI revisions. EUR was mostly flat vs the Dollar with EURUSD trading down to 1.0750 b...
February 9, 2024
Read More > FX Analysis – USD drifts lower, AUD outperforms after RBA, Gold and JPY push higher
USD drifted lower in Tuesday’s session, the US dollar index retracing a good chunk of Mondays gains. Regional bank fears were at the fore, with NYCB continuing its steep decline in an otherwise quiet session news wise. This saw the haven of bonds bid, sending yields lower and dragging the USD down with them. DXY dipping back below its 100 Day SMA...
February 7, 2024
Read More > FX analysis – AUD dips ahead of RBA, USD follows yields higher on Hawkish Powell, Gold hits 1-week lows
USD was bid in Mondays session with the US Dollar Index following US treasury yields higher after hawkish comments from Fed Chair Powell over the weekend where he pushed back on market pricing of rate cuts starting in March. A beat in the ISM Services PMI data also supporting DXY as rate cut odds in March dropped down to around 17% from the 35% cha...
February 6, 2024
Read More > FX analysis – USD pops on FOMC, Cool CPI hits AUD, Yields support JPY
USD started the session weaker with the US dollar index (DXY) hitting a low of 102.94, as it was weighed on by dovish economic data, with misses in ADP employment and Employment Cost Index. This turned around dramatically after what was seen as a hawkish result out of the FOMC where the Fed left rates unchanged as expected but pushed back on the ma...
February 1, 2024
Read More > FX analysis – USD , EUR, AUD, JPY
USD was flat on Tuesday with the US dollar index (DXY) trading either side of the 200-day SMA and 50% Fib level at 103.50. FX traders turning their attention to the pivotal FOMC rate decision on Wednesday followed by the non-farm employment report on Friday. A better than expected JOLTS job opening report lending some support early in the session t...
January 31, 2024
Read More > The Week Ahead – Volatility set to return with FOMC, BoE and NFP ahead
FX traders have a bumper week of major economic announcements to navigate, with markets in a holding pattern awaiting the pivotal January Federal Reserve meeting, adding to that a Bank of England policy meeting, CPI readings out of Australia and Europe topped off by the US non-farm employment report. The Charts to Watch: AUDUSD – Aussie CPI...
January 29, 2024
Read More > FX Analysis – Hot PMIs support EUR and GBP, BoC disappoints CAD bulls
USD was ultimately lower on Wednesday after a rollercoaster of a session. Broad risk-on sentiment early on saw the Dollar Index (DXY) plummet to hit a low of 102.77 until strong S&P Global Flash PMIs coupled with souring risk sentiment after a dismal US 5yr auction saw a sharp turn-around. DXY retaking the 103 handle at session end, with the 50...
January 25, 2024
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