Your complete day-by-day guide to Australian medal chances and market-moving moments during the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

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Quick Facts

• Opening Ceremony: 6:00 am, 7 February AEDT (8:00 pm, 6 February Milan).
• Prime viewing window: 4:00 am to 2:00 pm AEDT daily coincides with pre-market and ASX trading hours.
• Medal ceremonies: Typically run from 6:00 am to 7:00 am AEDT. Perfect for pre-market position adjustments.
• 53 Australian athletes competing: The second-largest Australian Winter Olympic team ever, with 10 genuine medal contenders.

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GO Markets Olympic Schedule

Olympic Schedule

All times shown in AEDT

= Australian competing

🏅 = AUS medal chance

🔥 = Potential volatility

Feb 7

06:00

Opening Ceremony

Live from Milano

🔥

21:30

Men's Downhill Final

Harry Laidlaw

🔥

23:00

Women's 10km+10km Skiathlon

Rosie Fordham, Phoebe Cridland

🔥

Feb 8

05:30

Men's Snowboard Big Air Final

Valentino Guseli

🏅🔥

05:57

Women's NH Individual Final

Global Superstars (Ski Jumping)

🔥

Feb 10

05:30

Women's Snowboard Big Air Final

Tess Coady, Ally Hickman

🏅

Feb 12

00:15

Women’s Moguls Final

Jakara Anthony, Emma Bosco, Charlotte Wilson

🏅🔥

22:15

Men’s Moguls Final

Matt Graham, Jackson Harvey, George Murphy

🏅

Feb 13

00:56

Men's Snowboard Cross Finals

Adam Lambert, Cam Bolton, Jarryd Hughes

🏅

19:30

Women's Snowboard Cross Finals

Josie Baff, Abbey Wilson, Mia Clift

🏅

Feb 14

21:46

Women’s Dual Moguls Final

Jakara Anthony, Charlotte Wilson

🏅

Feb 15

08:42

Short Track (1500m Final)

Brendan Corey

21:46

Men’s Dual Moguls Final

Matt Graham, George Murphy

🏅

Feb 16

23:00

Alpine Skiing (Men's Slalom)

Harry Laidlaw

Feb 17

06:00

Pairs Figure Skating Final

A. Golubeva & H. Giotopoulos Moore

07:06

Women’s Monobob Final

Bree Walker

🏅

Feb 18

21:30

Women’s Aerials Final

Laura Peel, Danielle Scott, Abbey Willcox

🏅

23:30

Women’s Slalom Final

Madison Hoffman, Phoebe Heaydon

Feb 19

21:30

Men’s Aerials Final

Reilly Flanagan

Feb 21

05:30

Men’s Halfpipe Final

Scotty James, Valentino Guseli

🏅🔥

23:30

SkiMo Mixed Relay

Phil Bellingham & Lara Hamilton

Feb 22

05:30

Women’s Freeski Halfpipe Final

Indra Brown

🏅

07:05

Two-Woman Bobsleigh Final

Walker/Reddingius & Blizzard/Johnson

Feb 23

00:10

Men’s Ice Hockey Final

NHL Superstars

🔥

06:00

Closing Ceremony

Live from Milano

🔥

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Opening Ceremony + first medals - Saturday, February 7

Opening Ceremony at breakfast time, then the first gold medal awarded in primetime on Saturday. 

Harry Laidlaw represents Australia in the Men's Downhill, the Games' first Gold medal event, while cross-country skiers Rosie Fordham and Phoebe Cridland compete late Saturday night. 

This same-day pairing of ceremony and first medals creates maximum media saturation, with a full weekend news cycle processing before Monday's ASX open.

Key events

• Opening Ceremony: 6:00 am AEDT
• Men's Downhill Final (first gold medal of the games): 9:30 pm AEDT
• Women's 10km + 10km Skiathlon: 11:00 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC (Nine Entertainment): Double viewership event. Opening Ceremony 6:00 am Saturday, lines up for the peak morning TV audience. First medals at 9:30 pm are a primetime Saturday night. 
• Italian equities (FTSE MIB): Historically underperform during domestic Olympics. Turin 2006 saw -2.1% during the Games.
• STLA (Stellantis): ESG headline risk if environmental groups target the ceremony.
• Apparel sponsor arbitrage: If a non-favourite wins Men's Downhill, their sponsor sees average +2.3% pop (PyeongChang 2018, Beijing 2022 data).

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First medals continue - Sunday, February 8

The medal rush continues on Sunday as 19-year-old Valentino Guseli takes flight in Men's Snowboard Big Air, offering Australia an early podium chance in one of the Games' most visually spectacular events. 

With the ceremony glow still fresh, Guseli's performance sets the tone for Australia's snowboard campaign and could influence Monday's ASX open positioning for action sports stocks.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Big Air Final (Valentino Guseli): 5:30 am AEDT
• Women's Normal Hill Individual Final: 5:57 am AEDT

For traders

• MNST (Monster Beverage): Action sports sponsor, benefits from multi-athlete Olympic presence.
• FL (Foot Locker), ZUMZ (Zumiez): Youth retail action sports exposure. Guseli gold could create a temporary buzz.

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Monday, February 9

A rare quiet day in Australia's Olympic calendar. No Australian medal events are scheduled, making this a pure observation day for traders. 

Monitor how Guseli's weekend result is processed through Monday's ASX open, and position ahead of Tuesday's Coady showdown.

Tuesday, February 10

Tess Coady attempts to upgrade her 2022 bronze to gold in Women's Snowboard Big Air. The Tuesday morning timing offers traders a potential pre-market positioning window, though Coady's modest mainstream profile limits exposure compared to the moguls stars on the following day.

Key events

• Women's Snowboard Big Air Final: 5:30 am AEDT

For traders

• FL (Foot Locker), ZUMZ (Zumiez): Youth retail. Coady gold could create a temporary buzz.
• MNST (Monster Beverage): Less volatile, general action sports sponsor.

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Wednesday, February 11

The calm before Jakara Anthony. No Australian events on Wednesday means traders spend the day positioning for the biggest moment of the Games: Anthony's moguls final just past midnight.

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Moguls Finals - Thursday, February 12

The biggest moment of the Games for Australia arrives just after midnight on Wednesday with Jakara Anthony defending her Olympic crown in the Women's Moguls Final. 

As the nation's brightest gold medal hope with 26 World Cup victories, Anthony's 12:15 am performance is the single highest-impact potential event for NEC and VFC stocks across the entire Olympic fortnight.

Matt Graham also chases his first Olympic gold at 10:15 pm Thursday night. Both events carry high NEC and VFC volatility potential.

Key events

• Women's Moguls Final (Jakara Anthony): 12:15 am AEDT
• Men's Moguls Final (Matt Graham): 10:15 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC (Nine Entertainment): Monitor overnight results and viewership for Thursday open direction.
• VFC (VF Corp/North Face): Sponsors both athletes. A double medal could bring a larger impact.
• Defending champion volatility: An Anthony loss could create higher emotional swings.
• Social sentiment: Track Twitter/Google Trends Thursday morning to gauge the magnitude of Anthony’s performance.

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Friday, February 13

Snowboard cross takes centre stage with two Australian medal chances bookending Friday's trading day. 

Adam Lambert's overnight final sets the morning open, while Josie Baff's evening showdown takes the Aus prime time slot.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Cross Finals: 12:56 am AEDT
• Women's Snowboard Cross Finals: 7:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC sentiment gauge: If Lambert medals Fri morning and Graham medaled Thu night, it could create positive momentum.

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Jakara Anthony competes - Saturday, February 14

Jakara Anthony goes for the double in Saturday night's Women's Dual Moguls Final.

If she claims gold Thursday and again here, the "double gold Jakara" narrative writes itself, offering geometric rather than linear media value. 

Key events

• Women's Dual Moguls Final (Jakara Anthony): 9:46 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC narrative power: "Double gold Jakara" could draw in more casual viewers.
• If Anthony silver/bronze Thu: Redemption story potential.
• Weekend timing: Saturday night result = Monday ASX gap.
• Format risk: Monitor qualifying rounds; if margins are greater than 1 second (blowouts), engagement could drop.

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Sunday, February 15 

A quiet Sunday offers redemption arcs and low-impact action. Brendan Corey's morning short track effort carries minimal stock relevance, while Matt Graham's late-night dual moguls final provides a second medal chance after Friday's traditional event.

Key events

• Short Track Speed Skating 1500m Final: 8:42 am AEDT
• Men's Dual Moguls Final: 9:46 pm AEDT

For traders

• VFC second opportunity: If Graham misses on Friday’s moguls, dual moguls redemption is possible.

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Monday, February 16

Harry Laidlaw returns to the slopes for late Monday night slalom action, but alpine skiing holds minimal sway over Australian audiences. 

This is a placeholder day in the trading calendar, with markets more focused on digesting the weekend moguls results and positioning for Tuesday's monobob final.

Key events

• Men's Slalom: 11:00 pm AEDT

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Bree Walker competes - Tuesday, February 17

Bree Walker could make Olympic history as she competes in the Women's Monobob Final, chasing Australia's first-ever bobsleigh medal. 

While the narrative is powerful, the commercial reality is that bobsleigh has no retail sponsor footprint, limiting direct stock plays.

Key events

• Pairs Figure Skating Final: 6:00 am AEDT
• Women's Monobob Final: 7:06 am AEDT

For traders

• NEC: Bobsleigh historically gets low ratings, but a Walker gold could provide value as an Australian-first.

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Wednesday, February 18

Veterans Laura Peel and Danielle Scott take centre stage on Wednesday night in an event with proud Australian history (2 golds since 2002). However, aerials' niche appeal and late-night timing may limit market impact.

Key events

• Women's Aerials Final: 9:30 pm AEDT
• Women's Slalom Final: 11:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC: If either medals, potential for a small sentiment boost.
• VFC exposure: Limited potential as aerials athletes are less commercially developed.

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Thursday, February 19

Thursday night aerials effort is a low-impact finale event with minimal medal expectation for Australian Reilly Flanagan, and even less market relevance. 

Scotty James' Saturday halfpipe showdown is the real conversation as the games begin winding down, although a medal run from Flanagan could create an underdog narrative.

Key events

• Men's Aerials Final: 9:30 pm AEDT

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Friday, February 20 

The final calm before Scotty James' legacy-defining Saturday. Set up day for James' 5:30 am Saturday halfpipe final, the Games' last major potential volatility event for an Aussie athlete.

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Scotty James competes - Saturday, February 21

Scotty James' legacy moment arrives Saturday morning. He’s represented Australia at five Olympics, with two medals and zero golds. This is his final chance and brings with it the Games' most emotionally charged event, and the last major trading catalyst before Monday's Closing Ceremony.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Halfpipe Final (Scotty James): 5:30 am AEDT
• SkiMo Mixed Relay: 11:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC: Potential weekend delays on price discovery. If James gold Saturday.
• NKE (Nike): Potential halo effect from gold via action sports lift.
• Guseli wildcard: Valentino is also competing (his second event after Big Air, Feb 8). A dual medal could create narrative amplification.

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Sunday, February 22

Sixteen-year-old Indra Brown takes the Sunday morning spotlight in Women's Freeski Halfpipe, facing off against favourite Eileen Gu (CHN) in what could become a Gen-Z brand inflection point.

Key events

• Women's Freeski Halfpipe Final (Indra Brown): 5:30 am AEDT
• Two-Woman Bobsleigh Final: 7:05 am

For traders

• Mon-Tue watch: Monitor which brands announce Brown signings.
• MILN (Global X Millennials ETF): Action sports retailers, social platforms exposure for Gen Z.

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Closing Ceremony - Monday, February 23

The curtain falls on Milano Cortina 2026 with Monday morning's Closing Ceremony, and history says this is where euphoria dies. 

• Men's Ice Hockey Final (NHL Superstars): 12:10 am AEDT
• Closing Ceremony: 6:00 am AEDT

Markets to watch:

• French Alps 2030 rotation: Closing features handover to France.
• Australian medal count: If greater than 4 medals (Beijing total), the government may increase 2030 winter sports funding.
• Ice Hockey Final: NHL players compete for the first time since 2014. Major US/Canada viewership means a potential CMCSA boost.

Pasar global memasuki minggu baru dengan sejumlah katalis yang berpotensi berdampak tinggi. Pemilihan umum Jepang mendarat pertama pada hari Minggu, diikuti oleh inflasi AS dan data pasar tenaga kerja yang terus membentuk ekspektasi suku bunga.

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• Pemilu Jepang: Kelangsungan kebijakan dan stabilitas politik umumnya dipandang mendukung pasar regional.
• Inflasi AS dan pasar tenaga kerja: Indeks harga konsumen (CPI) dan laporan Situasi Ketenagakerjaan (nonfarm payrolls, NFP) adalah titik fokus makro langsung untuk minggu ini.
• Pengukur risiko Bitcoin: Bitcoin kembali mendekati level yang terakhir terlihat pada akhir 2024 dan tetap jauh di bawah puncak Oktober 2025.
• Jam tangan rotasi sektor: Teknologi baru-baru ini berkinerja buruk sementara segmen nilai dan defensif telah stabil, dengan musim pendapatan terus mempengaruhi arus.

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Pemilu Jepang

Pemilihan umum di Jepang terutama dilihat melalui lensa kepastian kebijakan. Pasar biasanya mendukung hasil yang jelas dan kontinuitas dalam pengaturan fiskal dan moneter.

Hasil tak terduga atau ketidakpastian koalisi dapat meningkatkan volatilitas jangka pendek dalam JPY dan indeks regional pada awal minggu.

Tanggal utama

• Pemilihan umum (Jepang): Minggu, 8 Februari
• Hasil melalui perdagangan Asia pada hari Senin

Dampak pasar

• JPY mungkin sensitif terhadap ketidakpastian hasil atau potensi perubahan arah kebijakan
• Ekuitas Asia mungkin melihat volatilitas awal minggu sampai hasilnya jelas

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Inflasi AS dan pasar tenaga kerja

Inflasi tetap menjadi masukan paling langsung ke dalam ekspektasi suku bunga, sementara laporan NFP bulanan memberikan bacaan luas tentang kondisi ketenagakerjaan dan tekanan upah.

Imbal hasil Treasury dan USD sering bereaksi cepat terhadap rilis ini, dengan efek knock-on di seluruh ekuitas, emas, dan aset pertumbuhan.

Harga saat ini menunjukkan pasar menetapkan probabilitas penurunan kurang dari 30% pada pertemuan April, dengan probabilitas kenaikan pertemuan Juni di atas 50%.

Tanggal utama

• Situasi Pekerjaan: Rabu, 11 Februari 08:30 (ET) | Kamis, 12 Februari 00:30 (AEDT)
• CPI (Januari 2026): Jumat, 13 Februari 08:30 (ET) Sabtu, 14 Februari 00:30 (AEDT)

Dampak pasar

• Imbal hasil sering bergerak lebih dulu, diikuti oleh USD dan kemudian aset berisiko
• Harapan untuk waktu pemotongan suku bunga dapat menyesuaikan dengan cepat
• Pertumbuhan dan pangsa teknologi tetap lebih sensitif terhadap suku bunga

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin telah menurun ke level yang terakhir terlihat sebelum pemilihan AS pada November 2024 dan mendekati 50% di bawah puncak Oktober 2025.

Meskipun bukan indikator makro tradisional, pasar kripto dapat dilihat sebagai bacaan real-time tentang toleransi risiko investor. Kelemahan berkelanjutan dapat bertepatan dengan posisi yang lebih hati-hati di seluruh aset beta yang lebih tinggi, termasuk saham teknologi.

Dampak pasar

• Sentimen kripto yang lebih lembut mungkin bertepatan dengan berkurangnya aliran spekulatif
• Nafsu makan risiko mungkin tetap lebih selektif
  
  

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Rotasi sektor

Selama seminggu terakhir, Dow Jones Industrial Average telah mengungguli kinerja, diperdagangkan tepat di bawah netral, sementara Nasdaq-100 telah turun lebih dari 4%, mencerminkan sensitivitas teknologi kapitalisasi besar terhadap imbal hasil yang lebih kencang.

Apa yang mungkin tercermin dari langkah itu

• Tekanan yang didorong oleh suku bunga pada saham pertumbuhan
• Pengambilan keuntungan setelah kinerja teknologi yang kuat
• Musim pendapatan mendukung partisipasi sektor yang lebih luas
• Nada yang umumnya lebih berhati-hati di seluruh aset beta yang lebih tinggi

Pasar biasanya mencari kinerja unggul multi-minggu yang berkelanjutan di bidang keuangan, industri, atau pertahanan sebelum mencirikan pergeseran sebagai rotasi struktural.

Dampak pasar

• Teknologi tetap lebih sensitif terhadap pergerakan hasil
• Sektor nilai dan defensif mungkin melihat dukungan relatif
• Pedoman pendapatan terus mempengaruhi kepemimpinan

Lanskap FX Februari kemungkinan akan didorong oleh persistensi inflasi, ketahanan tenaga kerja, dan komunikasi bank sentral. Dengan beberapa rilis data berdampak tinggi di seluruh AS, Eropa, Jepang, dan Australia, pergerakan jangka pendek mungkin lebih didorong oleh peristiwa dan didorong oleh harga ulang, daripada dipimpin oleh tren.

Fakta singkat

• USD tetap menjadi titik referensi utama, dengan data AS mendorong harga ulang dalam imbal hasil dan pasar FX yang lebih luas.
• Sensitivitas EUR tetap tinggi di sekitar pesan Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) dan sinyal inflasi dan aktivitas yang masuk.
• JPY tetap terkait erat dengan data domestik dan komunikasi Bank of Japan (BOJ), dengan USD/JPY sering bereaksi tajam terhadap perubahan ekspektasi hasil.
• AUD tetap sensitif terhadap kebijakan, dengan inflasi domestik dan data tenaga kerja kemungkinan paling penting, di samping nada risiko global dan logam.

Dolar Amerika Serikat (USD)

Peristiwa penting

• Payroll nonfarm (NFP) dan pengangguran: 8:30 pagi, 11 Februari (ET) | 12:30 pagi, 12 Februari (AEDT)
• Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK), judul dan inti: 8:30 pagi, 13 Februari (ET) | 12:30, 13 Februari (AEDT)
• Penghasilan dan pengeluaran pribadi (termasuk indeks harga PCE): 8:30, 20 Februari (ET) | 12:30, 21 Februari (AEDT)

Apa yang harus ditonton

USD kemungkinan akan tetap terutama didorong oleh pergeseran data inflasi dan tenaga kerja dan implikasinya terhadap ekspektasi suku bunga Federal Reserve. Berita utama terbaru di sekitar Kemerdekaan Federal Reserve telah menambahkan volatilitas pada posisi USD.

Inflasi yang lebih kuat atau ketahanan tenaga kerja sering dikaitkan dengan dukungan USD yang lebih kuat melalui ekspektasi hasil yang lebih tinggi. Hasil yang lebih lembut dapat mengurangi dukungan suku bunga dan memungkinkan pasangan seperti EUR/USD dan AUD/USD untuk stabil.

Grafik utama: Grafik mingguan indeks dolar AS (DXY)

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Euro (EUR)

Peristiwa penting

• Keputusan kebijakan ECB: 12:15 pagi, 6 Februari (AEDT)
• Konferensi pers ECB: 00.45 pagi, 6 Februari (AEDT)
• Estimasi kilat ECB untuk PDB dan lapangan kerja: 20:00, 13 Februari (AEDT)

Apa yang harus ditonton

Arah EUR tetap terkait dengan apakah ECB dapat mempertahankan pendiriannya tanpa penurunan material dalam aktivitas, atau apakah data inflasi dan pertumbuhan mendorong pelonggaran ekspektasi.

Pertumbuhan yang tangguh dan inflasi yang kuat dapat mendukung bias harga “lebih tinggi untuk lebih lama”. Pertumbuhan yang lebih lemah atau inflasi yang lebih lembut dapat membebani mata uang, terutama jika mereka membawa ekspektasi pelonggaran.

Grafik utama: Grafik mingguan EUR/USD

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Yen jepang (JPY)

Peristiwa penting

• PDB awal Jepang (Q4 2025, pendahuluan pertama): 18:50, 15 Februari (ET) | 10:50 pagi, 16 Februari (AEDT)
• CPI Nasional (Jepang): 20 Februari (Jepang)

Apa yang harus ditonton

JPY tetap sensitif terhadap pergeseran imbal hasil domestik dan komunikasi BOJ. Bahkan penyesuaian sederhana terhadap ekspektasi kebijakan dapat menghasilkan pergerakan besar dalam USD/JPY.

Pertumbuhan yang kuat atau hasil inflasi dapat mendukung JPY melalui imbal hasil domestik yang lebih tinggi dan pergeseran ekspektasi BOJ. Hasil yang lebih lembut atau pesan kebijakan yang hati-hati dapat membuat USD/JPY tetap didukung.

Grafik utama: Grafik harian USD/JPY

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Dollar Australia (AUD)

Peristiwa penting

• Menit RBA: 11:30 pagi, 17 Februari (AEDT)
• Indeks Harga Upah: 11:30 pagi, 18 Februari (AEDT)
• Survei Tenaga Kerja: 11:30 pagi, 19 Februari (AEDT)
• Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK): 11:30 pagi, 25 Februari (AEDT)

Apa yang harus ditonton

AUD tetap sensitif terhadap kebijakan, merespons dengan cepat terhadap inflasi domestik dan data tenaga kerja, serta sentimen risiko global dan dampaknya terhadap penetapan harga logam.

Upah yang terus-menerus atau tekanan inflasi dapat mendukung AUD melalui ekspektasi kebijakan yang lebih kuat. Data yang melemah dapat mengurangi dukungan suku bunga dan membebani kinerja AUD, terutama versus USD dan JPY.

Grafik utama: Grafik harian EUR/AUD