Economic Updates

Economic Updates

The Week ahead – Debt ceiling deal, NFP and Aussie CPI – charts to watch

News over the weekend of a tentative debt ceiling deal had been achieved should see investors in the week ahead return to their usual programming of trying to predict the next move from the Federal Reserve, which this week’s jobs data will be a critical component. Late Saturday, the White House and Republican negotiators announced a debt ceili...

May 29, 2023
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The Week ahead – Debt ceiling deal, NFP and Aussie CPI – charts to watch

News over the weekend of a tentative debt ceiling deal had been achieved should see investors in the week ahead return to their usual programming of trying to predict the next move from the Federal Reserve, which this week’s jobs data will be a critical component. Late Saturday, the White House and Republican negotiators announced a debt ceili...

May 29, 2023
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US stocks sink as debt ceiling impasse continues to weigh on investors, RBNZ rate decision today

Major US indices were lower on Tuesday, extending to the downside through the session, as debt limit negotiations extend further to the edge after little progress was made in further talks between the White House and Republican negotiators. The Nasdaq slumped 160 points 1.26% as the risk off tone and tightening economic conditions hit growth stocks...

May 24, 2023
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US stocks sink as debt ceiling impasse continues to weigh on investors, RBNZ rate decision today

Major US indices were lower on Tuesday, extending to the downside through the session, as debt limit negotiations extend further to the edge after little progress was made in further talks between the White House and Republican negotiators. The Nasdaq slumped 160 points 1.26% as the risk off tone and tightening economic conditions hit growth stocks...

May 24, 2023
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The Week Ahead – RBNZ, UK and US inflation and debt ceiling impasse headline risk events

With Junes FOMC policy meeting still up in the air as far as markets are pricing in, FOMC minutes and US PCE core inflation figures (reportedly the Fed’s favoured measure) released this week will be closely watched and likely go a long way to settling market participants mind as to what the next move from the fed will be. From the UK inflation da...

May 22, 2023
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US stocks surge on bounce in regional banks and debt ceiling optimism

Major US indices finished solidly in the green in a broad rally as risk appetite returned to the market amid optimism debt ceiling negotiations and a reassuring update from regional bank Western Alliance (WAL) which reported growth in its deposits. The Dow was up over 400 points, or 1.24% while the Russell 2000 outperformed, up over 2%, flying on a...

May 18, 2023
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US equities finish in the red after retail sales miss and ongoing debt ceiling concerns

US stocks finished mostly lower in what was a risk-off session amid mixed data releases from the US and ongoing debt ceiling concerns weighing on risk markets. A lackluster forecast from retail giant (and Dow component) Home Depot (HD) also didn’t help. The Dow led losses, ending up down over 300 points while the Nasdaq was the least worst of ...

May 17, 2023
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US stocks mostly lower as bank woes sour risk sentiment, BoE hikes rates

US indices closed the session mixed with outperformance in Nasdaq, propped up by Google(GOOG) as their continuing I/O event bolstered their stock price. However, other major indices finished solidly in the red, with the Dow down over 200 points, dragged down by Disney, and the S&P500 and Russell 2000 suffering from further banking woes after Pa...

May 12, 2023
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US stocks finish mostly up in chaotic session after CPI slip

US equity markets whipsawed in a volatile session after CPI figures showed a slight softening in the headline reading, this saw stocks initially rally, before dipping and rallying again to finish the session on a strong footing. The Nasdaq outperformed in a lower yield environment and was given a boost by Alphabet (GOOG) which rallied over 4% amid ...

May 11, 2023
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US stocks finish mostly up in chaotic session after CPI slip

US equity markets whipsawed in a volatile session after CPI figures showed a slight softening in the headline reading, this saw stocks initially rally, before dipping and rallying again to finish the session on a strong footing. The Nasdaq outperformed in a lower yield environment and was given a boost by Alphabet (GOOG) which rallied over 4% amid ...

May 11, 2023
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US CPI preview – the chart to watch

Today’s US CPI number is the most important US data release this week. With the FX markets coming into this release with relatively low energy and searching for a catalyst any surprise will likely trigger significant intraday volatility in FX and other risk assets. We’re also coming into this release with a market split on the Feds next rate...

May 10, 2023
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Asian markets looking to open flat after US stocks finish mixed in choppy, rangebound session

Major US indices finished mixed to flat on a slow news day and lighter than usual volumes not helped by the UK being on a holiday as traders seem to be waiting for pivotal inflation data released later this week. The Nasdaq, lifted by lingering good feeling from recent Tech earnings outperformed, finishing up 21 points, while a paring back of a ...

May 9, 2023
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Asian markets looking to open flat after US stocks finish mixed in choppy, rangebound session

Major US indices finished mixed to flat on a slow news day and lighter than usual volumes not helped by the UK being on a holiday as traders seem to be waiting for pivotal inflation data released later this week. The Nasdaq, lifted by lingering good feeling from recent Tech earnings outperformed, finishing up 21 points, while a paring back of a ...

May 9, 2023
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Risk events in the week ahead – BoE set to hike, US CPI

US stocks rallied strongly on Friday on a stronger than expected Jobs report, improved banking sentiment and strong earnings from Apple (AAPL) which saw the Nasdaq up over 2% and erasing the weeks losses to finish the first week of May modestly in the green. Non-farm payrolls smashed expectations, coming in at 253k new jobs created in April ...

May 8, 2023
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US stocks sink in risk off session as banking sector woes continue to weigh

US stocks indices finished in the red in a choppy session with more regional bank selling, mixed data releases (including a surge in US Labour Costs) and another hike out of the ECB keeping traders busy. All four major indexes finished broadly lower with financials leading the declines as more headlines hit the newswires regarding issues with re...

May 5, 2023
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