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Economic Updates
Stocks and Crypto down, Oil dumps and pumps as market goes risk off amid China COVID woes
US equities finished with modest losses in Mondays session of a holiday shortened week in a low volatility session. The Dow Jones dropping 45.42 points or -0.13%, the more risk sensitive NASDAQ underperforming finishing down 121.55 points or 1.09%. Scheduled news flow was light with only scheduled speeches from Fed voting members Daly and Me...
November 22, 2022
Read More > Markets continue to be uncertain as choppy conditions continue
Markets continue to be uncertain as choppy conditions continue It was another mixed bag for the equity market last week as traders and investors tried to make sense of the current rally. With the indices seemingly pausing from their rally the market is still yet to determine if this current momentum is a true reversal and a sign of a potenti...
November 21, 2022
Read More > Stocks drop, yields up as Fed hawks bash pivot hopes
US equities declined modestly in Thursdays session futures were pointing to a steeper decline after Voting Fed member Bullard dampened hopes of a Fed “pivot” anytime soon, re-iterating the Feds determination to see inflation lower and downplaying one soft inflation report. Stocks did recover during the session though as the “bad news i...
November 18, 2022
Read More > Australian employment figures beat forecast – Rates markets and AUD reaction
Australian October employment figures released at 11:30 AEDST handily beat expectations with 32.2k jobs added for the month (15k expected), the unemployment rate also unexpectedly fell to 3.4% when it was expected to be unchanged at 3.5%. Coupled with yesterdays beat in the Wage Price index which showed wages increased 1% in Q3 paints an optimis...
November 17, 2022
Read More > US equities rally on softer PPI figure though upside capped on hawkish Fed rhetoric and geopolitics
US markets rallied in a choppy session after a softer Producer inflation figure mirrored the Consumer inflation figure from last week, giving investors optimism that US inflation may have peaked. Gains were tempered though with Fed voting members Barr and Harker both made hawkish comments regarding the Feds fight against inflation and reports of a ...
November 16, 2022
Read More > US markets break winning streak after post CPI exuberance, cryptos down again
The US equity post CPI rally of last week ran out of steam in Mondays session as consumer inflation expectations rose and mixed messages from Federal Reserve members saw a choppy first half of the session only to see a steep decline into the close with the Dow Jones ultimately finishing down 211 points (-0.63%) Futures opened Monday with a gap d...
November 15, 2022
Read More > Soft CPI figure sees Stocks, Bonds and Gold soar as the USD and yields collapse
Risk on was definitely back on in Thursdays US session after a softer than expected October Core CPI print, coming in at 0.3% vs the expected 0.5%, combined with broadly less-hawkish comments from Federal Reserve members Daly, Logan and Harker sparked the biggest rally in US equities since April 2020. The rally was broad with all major US inde...
November 11, 2022
Read More > US equities rise ahead of Midterm results in choppy session as Crypto craters
US equities got off to flying start with reports of possible peace talks between Russia and Ukraine and a softening in the rate environment saw solid gains across the major indices for the first half of the session. Chaos in the Crypto market then hit dragging down stocks before a bounce off technical levels saw the Dow Jones still finish up over 1...
November 9, 2022
Read More > The Week Ahead – US Mid-terms set stage for another volatile week
Another week done, another roller coaster for equity and risk markets as the bulls and the bears battled to take control of the narrative in a data rich week. Markets pumped on what was taken initially as a dovish FOMC statement, only to dump as Fed chair Jerome Powell threw cold water on that idea during his presser, then pumped again on Friday...
November 7, 2022
Read More > US stocks dump in choppy session after FOMC decision
US equites had a wild ride over night, A strong ADP jobs report was indexes track lower at the start of the session (Good news is bad news!) only to have a euphoric lift after the FOMC statement which traders took as a dovish pivot from the Fed, only to have the party ruined by Jerome Powell’s press conference where he poured cold water on that i...
November 3, 2022
Read More > Stocks down, USD and Yields up ahead of key FOMC meeting
US stocks slid in a choppy session where a positive open soon sold off sharply on the back of a positive JOLTS report sparking a “good news is bad news” reaction in equity markets. The JOLTS survey showed that job openings surged in September, rising to 10.72 million, well above the expected 9.85 million, this saw rate hike odds soaring ahea...
November 2, 2022
Read More > The Week Ahead – The Fed takes centre stage along with the RBA and BoE in a data heavy calendar
With the bulls fully in charge, global markets head into the first week of November with one of the most important economic calendars we’ve seen this year to look forward to. Risk-on has certainly been the narrative in October so far, with the Dow Jones index surging 5.89% last week, up 14.4% for October and on track, coming into its last trad...
October 31, 2022
Read More > CPI figures released for Australia
The Australian Consumer Price Index, (CPI) data was released earlier today with the figures coming out higher than expected. The CPI provides important information about the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, by measuring household inflation and includes statistics about price change for categories of household expend...
October 26, 2022
Read More > US stocks rally during cash session, futures down after market as Microsoft and Alphabet earnings disappoint.
US equities markets had another strong session as a flurry of weaker than expected housing and consumer confidence figures kept the Fed pivot dream alive. Growth and tech stocks outperformed with all major US indices finishing well in the green ahead of major earnings releases after the bell. The big movers after hours are Microsoft (MSFT) a...
October 26, 2022
Read More > US stocks rip higher again, China falters and Yen-tervention fails.
Another day, another push higher in US equities as the market mood remains buoyant during what has so far been a good earnings season, with much more to come. Services and manufacturing PMI figures out of the UK, EU and US all came in weaker than expected and well in contraction territory, in the equity market theme is “Bad news is good news” (...
October 25, 2022
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