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Forex
GBPJPY Breaks Through to 2015 Levels
The GBJPY has continued to climb strongly to the upside, since the end of March 2023 and currently trades just below the 183.00 price level. This move higher is driven by a combination of the weakness of the Japanese Yen and renewed strength in the British Pound. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has begun to sound warning bells regarding potentially exce...
June 28, 2023
Read More > FX wrap – GBP volatile on BoE surprise, JPY and CHF under pressure, USD follows yields up
USD was firmer on Thursday, largely due to a rally in treasury yields with the DXY tracking the 10 year yield higher to a peak of 102.470 after bouncing off the psychological 102 support level. US data was mixed with Unemployment claims and current account figures coming in worse than expected, but this was offset by a beat in Existing home sales. ...
June 23, 2023
Read More > AUDUSD testing key support after RBA minutes
The RBA minutes of their June meeting where another surprise hike had most of the market off side were released today, and they were surprisingly dovish. The board made clear the decision between a hike and hold was finely balanced and seems to suggest further hikes may require a high bar for inflation readings to sway them. AUD reaction was swift ...
June 20, 2023
Read More > Asia Morning FX – AUD and EUR surge, USD takes a hit post FOMC, BoJ ahead
USD tumbled in Thursday’s session in the wake of a dovish Powell presser (relative to statement/dot plots) saw the Dollar bears in charge. This, coupled with a hawkish ECB and mixed US data saw DXY fall from highs of 103.38 in the European morning to a low of 102.08, with the psychological 102 level the next obvious support. A hawkish ECB, where ...
June 16, 2023
Read More > AUDUSD Soars on RBA Hike, EURUSD underperforms, CAD, GBP, JPY wrap
USD was firmer on Tuesday amid a light news calendar sparse in any key risk events. The US Dollar index again having a choppy session in a tight range with EURUSD weakness giving the Dollar a tailwind, also helping the greenback was ramped up US growth forecasts from Goldman Sachs and the World Bank hitting the wires. EUR was the G10 underpe...
June 7, 2023
Read More > Could the Reserve Bank of Australia hike rates further?
The Australian interest rate is currently at 3.85% and the most recent consumer price index (CPI) released at 6.8% which indicates slightly higher than expected inflation growth (expectation was 6.4% with previous data at 6.3%). This puts more focus on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). While further rate ...
June 6, 2023
Read More > Market Analysis 5 – 9 June 2023
XAUUSD Analysis 5 – 9 June 2023 The overall outlook for gold prices is bearish in the short term. As there was a loss of buying momentum after testing the resistance area 2070, forming a Triple Top pattern on the Weekly timeframe, then there was a strong sell momentum, causing the price to fall below the price line. 1960s price line wh...
June 5, 2023
Read More > Market Analysis 29 May – 02 June 2023
XAUUSD Analysis 29 May – 02 June 2023 Forecasting the price of gold in the short term, the price may move down to test the 1915 support area, which is the area where the price is expected to bounce back. and if the price can stand without falling further Price may have a sideways correction before rallying to test the 1960 resistance a...
May 30, 2023
Read More > AUD analysis – waiting for a catalyst – range trading and mean reversion opportunities
The Aussie dollar has been fairly directionless since late February with it seemingly waiting for a catalyst to break it’s ranges and take the next leg up or down, data this week has failed to provide that. This opens up a couple of very good opportunities for traders, range trading the AUDUSD and mean reversion trades on the AUDNZD. Starting ...
May 18, 2023
Read More > Market Analysis 15-19 May 2023
XAUUSD Analysis 8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is generally positive in the medium term. Although the close of last week's sell pressure bar indicates a significant loss of buying momentum, due to the sell-off during the week but the price is still moving above the 2000 support level after a rebound to test and then rebound. It...
May 18, 2023
Read More > Market Analysis 8-12 May 2023
XAUUSD Analysis 8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although last week's closing of the buying pressure bar would indicate a loss of buying momentum due to the weekly selloff. But the price is still moving above the 2000 support, it is very likely that the price will continue to move above the 2000 level ...
May 9, 2023
Read More > ECB hikes rates to 3.75%
Following the lead of the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its decision to hike rates by 25 basis points, taking interest rates in the Eurozone to 3.75% overnight. In the lead-up to the ECB meeting, there was some market speculation for a potential 50bps hike, which saw the EUR/USD trade to a 12-month high, reaching the...
May 5, 2023
Read More > FOMC hikes rates but signals pause
In the most recent meeting, the US Federal Reserve hiked rates by 25 basis points, as anticipated, to take interest rates in the US to 5.25%, slightly beyond the terminal rate of 5.1%. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to the key support level of 100.80 which was last reached in April and February 2023, following the release of the rate hike ...
May 4, 2023
Read More > Market Analysis 1-5 May 2023
XAUUSD Analysis 1 – 5 May 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although last week's closing of the buying pressure bar would indicate a loss of buying momentum due to the weekly selloff. But the price is still moving in a narrow range above the 1960 support or the recent high on the Weekly timeframe. resistance 2...
May 3, 2023
Read More > BoJ Governor Ueda’s first monetary policy meeting
The Bank of Japan is due to hold its first monetary policy meeting under new Governor Ueda on the 29th of April 2023. Since his appointment, Governor Ueda has frequently indicated that the BoJ will continue with its current easing stance on monetary policy with targets for long and short-term interest rates. Although headline and core inflation run...
April 28, 2023
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