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Oil, Metals, Soft Commodities

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Oil, Metals, Soft Commodities

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How High Can Gold Go? – What Traders Should Watch Next.

Why Is Gold in Focus Right Now? Throughout early 2025, gold has surged to record highs, breaching $3,400 an ounce for the first time in history. For newer traders, this may seem like a “blue-sky” breakout without precedent. For experienced market participants, it raises a more practical and important question, i.e. what is driving this rally...

April 22, 2025
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The Dirty 15 and the ‘liberation’ of what?

We would suggest that right now Markets are underestimating the impact of April 2 US Reciprocal Tariffs – aka Liberation Day monikered by the President. There is consistent and constant chatter around what is being referred to as The Dirty 15. This is the 15 countries the president suggests has been taking advantage of the United States of Ame...

March 28, 2025
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Copper Price Outlook 2025: Key Influences, Headwinds, and Tailwinds

Introduction Copper is a crucial industrial metal, often seen as a barometer of global economic health. Therefore, movements in copper price are not only interesting to buyers/sellers of copper related assets, but also the market as a while. Its pricing is influenced by a complex interplay of supply and demand dynamics, macroeconomic conditio...

February 10, 2025
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2024 and 2025 what happend and what will

2024 – Where did that go? As we sit here and review the last weeks of 2024, it has dawned on us that 2024 was the year of wanting everything and getting nothing. Now that might sound like a ridiculous statement considering equities across the MSCI world are averaging double digit returns for 2024. In fact in the US they are on track for two...

December 20, 2024
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Gold in 2025: Trends, Opportunities, and Challenges Ahead

As we examine what may happen in the new year, it is clear that gold continues to be of interest for investors seeking stability, diversification, and opportunities amidst what is likely to be an interesting and changing economic landscape throughout 2025.  With a change in the US presidency, significant central bank action likely, and on-going...

December 13, 2024
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One for the Gold Bugs – Are we seeing a structural change from Au’s renaissance?

There's been plenty made this year about gold's incredible rise to new record levels. A point that gold bugs love to point out. As we sit here gold is trading at around US$2700oz having reached an all-time high that was just shy of US$2900oz.  Thus the question has to be asked: where is the limit? And where too from here for the inert metal?...

November 22, 2024
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Uranium’s Turning Point?

Yellowcake - a commodity that is loved and loathed all in the same breath. The questions we have been asking are - which is right and what’s the outlook? Because as traders and investors that dilemma is key, there is a gap here and that leads to volatility and incorrect pricing in the short and long term some may want to jump on. Recent develo...

November 20, 2024
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Will commodity prices continue to slide?

The last two months, with accelerated selling over the last fortnight, have seen considerable drops in major commodity prices. Oil is at its lowest point since early September, copper likewise and gold futures have dropped almost 8% since the beginning of the month after making record highs. Consequently, on the ASX we have seen the materials...

November 18, 2024
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Drill, Drill, Drill Baby – Oil in the next world order

There has been plenty of conjecture about where oil is going to go in 2025 and we would suggest that the recent climb in Brent crude oil prices above $80 per barrel reflects an intensifying mix of geopolitical uncertainty.  The main 3 uncertainties driving oil have been the impact of the U.S. presidential election, the escalation of the Middle ...

November 15, 2024
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No more ‘White Knight’? What China’s stimulus plans mean for iron ore

China’s recent shift in economic policy and its potential for fiscal stimulus reflect an evolving approach to support economic stability. Following previous monetary easing measures, including a reduction in the Reserve Ratio Requirement and interest rate cuts in late September, China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) Standing Committee has ...

November 13, 2024
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The Tricky trade of Oil

Never has the oil been trickier than it is right now. The influences on the price are complex, varied and time dependent. It’s even trickier  when you look at it from the trade of commodities versus equities.  Here are the key things that are catching our attention with oil trading in spot, forwards and equities.   Spot vs. Antici...

June 12, 2024
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Moving forward – the volt revolution of transport 

The transportation of the world is becoming one of the most interesting trading places in markets as we clearly have a structural long-term change coming as the world moves from the black stuff (oil) to electricity.  But the trader question is – what’s happening in these markets now? The black stuff - Oil Oil prices have softened due ...

May 23, 2024
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Economic versus the Federal Reserve Policy Implications

Where’s the Federal Reserve at? Slowing Growth and Potential Rate Cuts: Recent economic data suggests a slowdown in growth, contrary to earlier expectations of reaccelerating growth and inflation. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's statements and recent economic indicators point towards the possibility of lower policy rates in the near f...

May 21, 2024
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Future metals: are we seeing the 2000s again?

Plenty has been made of the drive towards nickel and lithium as “future metals” as the world's “electrification” takes hold. This “electrification” has been nicknamed the “volt revolution” and when you get these kinds of technological leaps - what's appearing to be the “winner” now doesn't necessarily mean it will be the overall...

May 7, 2024
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Middle East conflict & US interest rates send Gold back towards all-time highs.

Since reaching a local bottom in October of last year, XAUUSD has experienced a strong uptrend of over 13%. Closing its third consecutive positive session, Gold is inching closer to its all-time high, now sitting just above $2,050 USD per ounce. From a technical standpoint, Gold is following a well-defined rising channel that has been predominan...

January 16, 2024
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