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Geopolitical Events
The US Entering the War – What Does It Mean for Oil?
The US has entered the Israel-Iran war. However, despite an initial 4 per cent surge on the open, oil has settled where it has been since the conflict began in early June — around US$72 to US$75 a barrel. Trump claims the attacks from the US on Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend are a very short, very tactical, one-off. This is someth...
June 24, 2025Read More >Oil Price Reality: Are We Destined for New Highs, or Just Another False Alarm?
Oil has been thrust back into the spotlight as the negative catalyst for markets. The events over the weekend highlight just how fragile the Middle East is and how it will shape global trading in the second half of 2025. Putting Iran in an oil-specific perspective, despite rising geopolitical tensions, the potential for sustained disruptions to ...
June 16, 2025Read More >Israel-Iran Conflict: How Markets Are Reacting and What Traders Need to Know
Last week, the simmering geopolitical situation in the Middle East took a dramatic turn with Israel launching large-scale airstrikes on Iran. Primarily targeting nuclear and missile sites and key Iranian leaders, fears are increasing of a move towards Iran developing local nuclear development capability.. In the days since, Iran has retaliated...
June 16, 2025Read More >It’s oh so quiet, but for how long?
In the words of Bjork’ 90s indie hit “Oh So Quiet” – It's, oh, so quiet Shhhh, Shhhh, It's, oh, so still Shhhh, Shhhh, You're all alone Shhh, Shhh And so peaceful until… Until… that is the question, and considering it is ‘peaceful’, it's probably best to review the minutes from the Fed as it is signalling that the quiet time...
May 30, 2025Read More >Is It Blue Sky for Here, or Are We Facing a Cruel Joke?
We want to point out some interesting statistics that have us asking, Are we in a blue sky world or a cruel joke? Since the April 7th intraday lows, equities have done some astonishing things. The S&P 500 is now up 22% from that low. On April 8th, the S&P was down 15% year to date, yet it took just 25 trades from that closing low to reve...
May 19, 2025Read More >Can we see the forest from the trees? Where does Australia sit?
It has been over 21 days since ‘Liberation Day’ – since then, the forest of chaos ensued as lead investors, traders, and the full gamut of financial participants lost sight of where we stand. Not surprising when you look at the reporting versus the market. The chaos has led to mass loss of confidence from both the consumer and business sid...
April 23, 2025Read More >Market Watching in the Autumn – The Orange World Impacts
Global markets continue to search for anything they can grasp onto that points to possible signs of progress on global trade tensions, and by anything, we do mean ‘anything’ – truth social posts, X posts, this person heard from this person something tangible. It shows just how volatile this current market really is that inuendo and whim is be...
April 14, 2025Read More >Another Period For The History Books.
We have deliberately waited a few days before commenting on “Liberation Day” and the fallout that would come from President Trump’s new tariffs regime. It will go down as just another historical period of heightened volatility, uncertainty, risk, and a whole manner of market turmoil. This is why we wanted to put what is happening right now...
April 7, 2025Read More >Learning From Losses: How Successful Traders Turn Setbacks into Comebacks.
In the world of trading, irrespective of what instrument or timeframes you are choosing to trade, losses aren't just inevitable—if you choose to embrace the opportunity they present, they also have the potential to be massively educational. According to studies from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, nearly 70% of retail traders ex...
April 7, 2025Read More >The Dirty 15 and the ‘liberation’ of what?
We would suggest that right now Markets are underestimating the impact of April 2 US Reciprocal Tariffs – aka Liberation Day monikered by the President. There is consistent and constant chatter around what is being referred to as The Dirty 15. This is the 15 countries the president suggests has been taking advantage of the United States of Ame...
March 28, 2025Read More >US Government Shutdown Showdown: Trump’s second term confronts its next major test
Introduction With the clock ticking toward a midnight Friday deadline, the United States is teetering on the edge of a partial government shutdown once again. The impasse—centred on a short-term funding bill—marks the first major legislative standoff of Donald Trump's second term in office. Although stopgap measures have been passed by th...
March 26, 2025Read More >What to expect in Trump’s First 100 Days
As Donald Trump prepares to take office on January 20th, the world watches with a mix of anticipation and apprehension with what may lie ahead, not only domestically but for the world as a whole. The first 100 days of any presidency set the tone for an administration's priorities and policies. Historically, this period has been viewed as crucial...
January 17, 2025Read More >Ripple Effects: How the 2024 U.S. Election Results Could Reshape American and Australia’s Financial Markets
Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election has already stirred financial markets, with various sectors and asset classes responding to anticipated policy shifts based on campaign promises. Whilst such promises often go unfulfilled, markets are beginning to price in these potential changes until clarity on policy directions e...
November 8, 2024Read More >US Election live event: The market reacts
Join us for a special Inner Circle event as we examine the real-time market responses to the 2024 US Presidential Election results. We will explore market volatility and opportunities as reactions unfold across various asset classes. We will be hosting four live sessions throughout the day, led by our Head of Client Education and Senior Analyst,...
November 4, 2024Read More >Early Voting Kicks Off, as a Trump Presidency comes into view
Early voting has officially begun in several critical battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina signalling the start of an intense final stretch in the race for the presidency. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania have also now entered the early voting period and what is interesting in 2024 over 2020 is that Trump has backed...
October 23, 2024Read More >
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