FX analysis – AUD whipsaws ahead of RBA, USDJPY inches higher with BoJ in sight, XAUUSD holds support

Mondays FX trade was relatively quiet on ahead of a some key central bank meetings today in the RBA and especially the BoJ. USD saw gains with the Dollar Index (DXY) rising from lows of 103.33 to highs of 103.65, with the index heading into APAC trade near Monday’s session high after yields were higher across the curve ahead of key risk events...

March 19, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – Gold rebounds, USDJPY whipsaw, EURUSD holds key support

USD saw marginal weakness on Wednesday in a quiet news day. The US Dollar Index (DXY) pushing to lows after a strong 30yr Treasury saw yields drop and DXY briefly breaking beneath Tuesdays low of 102.72.  A turn around later in the session saw DXY retake the 50% Fib support level at 102.80 ahead of today’s Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and PPI d...

March 14, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – Yen surges on BoJ jawboning, Gold sets another ATH, EUR breaks key level

USD was notably weaker in Thursday’s session ahead of the pivotal NFP report on Friday. The US Dollar index falling for the fifth straight session and breaking below 103 to touch on the Jan 24 lows before finding some support. Risk-on sentiment, a fall in yields and weak jobless claims data being the main drivers of the Greenback decline. ...

March 8, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – Risk-off sees Gold soar to all time highs, Yen outperforms after hot CPI

Risk off returned to the markets in Tuesdays session with US equity markets pulling back sharply led by tech stocks with the NASDAQ being the biggest loser, shedding 1.65%. The big headline for the day in FX was gold touching on all-time highs, rallying for a fifth straight session, buoyed by haven flows and a drop in US treasury yields. XAUUSD ...

March 6, 2024
Read More >
FX analysis – Gold hits new closing high, USDJPY holds above 150, DXY flat despite rising yields

Gold surged again in Monday’s session despite a rise in US Treasury yields and setting a new closing high. There was little fundamental news to drive the rally though a comparable surge in the Crypto markets has seemingly given the other “alternative” currency a tailwind. This is four up sessions for gold and with momentum behind it is eyeing...

March 5, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – USD dips, USDJPY holds above 150, EURUSD rallies

USD sold off on Monday with DXY failing to hold above 104 after finding some resistance at the 100 DAY SMA and dipping from a high of 104.20 to a low of 103.70 where the 200 Day SMA held as support. The move lower in USD came despite higher UST yields, which would normally support the USD. EURUSD was supported by the weaker USD with EURUSD r...

February 27, 2024
Read More >
The week ahead – RBNZ rate decision, USD, AUD and JPY inflation data

FX markets enter the new week with market sentiment firmly risk-on with all-time highs seen in US and Japanese indexes after a blowout earnings report from AI darling Nvidia (NVDA) sent stocks surging. Ahead this week we have key inflation data out of the US, Australia and Japan along with a RBNZ rate decision which is certainly in play. The ...

February 26, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – USD whipsaws , AUDNZD hits new lows, Gold holds key support

USD was ultimately flat in Thursdays session after a rollercoaster of a ride, DXY printed a low in the European session of 103.43 before rallying up to the 100 Day SMA at 104.10 after better than expected US Jobless claims.  Flash PMIs for February were mixed with a fall in Services but a rise in Manufacturing, DXY heading into the APAC session ju...

February 23, 2024
Read More >
Market analysis – NVDA rips higher on earnings, Gold holds key support, NZD outperforms

The much awaited NVDA Q4 earnings didn’t disappoint with the tech giant knocking it out of the park, handily beating analysts' expectations on the top and bottom lines. For the quarter, Nvidia reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.16 on revenue of $22.1 billion. Analysts were expecting EPS of $4.60 on revenue of $20.4 billion. For c...

February 22, 2024
Read More >
FX analysis – AUDUSD at key resistance ahead of RBA minutes and wage data

With the US closed for a holiday FX markets on Monday struggled to find much direction though China re-opening in the green after an extended leave did lend some support to the Aussie dollar ahead of todays RBA minutes. The February 6th RBA meeting saw a statement that had a bit of both ways, acknowledging broad progress on the inflation front but ...

February 20, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – USD dips , GBP falls on cool CPI, JPY jawboning , EUR up on data

USD dipped in Wednesday’s session after the CPI inspired surge on Tuesday. The US dollar index (DXY) hitting resistance at the 105 level and dropping to a low of 104.65. Reports of Fed Chair Powell downplaying Tuesday's hotter than expected CPI along with the Fed's Goolsbee stating US inflation is still consistent with the Fed's path back to targ...

February 15, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – USDJPY holds key level, AUDNZD has best day of year, USD quiet ahead of CPI

USD Dollar saw mild strength in Monday’s session, DXY trading either side of the psychological 104.00 level but again being capped to the upside by the 100-day SMA resistance. The was little in the way of a catalyst with no tier one data released, that will change today with US CPI figures released, which will help market participants and the Fed...

February 13, 2024
Read More >
The Week Ahead – US CPI, Aussie employment and the charts to watch

With FX markets being pushed and pulled by market participants betting on when the major central banks are going to start cutting rates (or not) FX traders have some important risk events that will influence those expectations to negotiate this week. CPI and retail sales headline in the US, Aussie traders have the January Jobs report and for Sterli...

February 12, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – AUD, NZD drop on China data ,USD up, JPY underperforms, EUR whipsaws

USD saw gains on Thursday with the US Dollar index (DXY) pushing above 104 before again finding resistance at the 100-day SMA. A rise in UST yields after a better than expected jobless claims figures. In data ahead Dollar traders will be focussing on the US CPI revisions. EUR was mostly flat vs the Dollar with EURUSD trading down to 1.0750 b...

February 9, 2024
Read More >
FX Analysis – USD drifts lower, AUD outperforms after RBA, Gold and JPY push higher

USD drifted lower in Tuesday’s session, the US dollar index retracing a good chunk of Mondays gains. Regional bank fears were at the fore, with NYCB continuing its steep decline in an otherwise quiet session news wise. This saw the haven of bonds bid, sending yields lower and dragging the USD down with them. DXY dipping back below its 100 Day SMA...

February 7, 2024
Read More >