- CFD trading
- CFD trading
- Markets
- Markets
- Products overview
- Forex
- Commodities
- Indices
- Shares
- Cryptocurrencies
- Treasuries
- ETFs
- Accounts
- Accounts
- Compare our accounts
- Our spreads
- Funding & withdrawals
- Open CFD account
- Try free demo
- Company, Trust or SMSF account
- Platforms
- Platforms
- Platforms overview
- MetaTrader 4
- MetaTrader 5
- cTrader
- cTrader copy trading
- Mobile trading platforms
- GO WebTrader
- Premium trading tools
- Premium trading tools
- Tools overview
- Trading central
- VPS
- Genesis
- Autochartist
- Share trading
- Share trading
- Invest in shares
- Invest in shares
- Trade ASX shares and ETFs
- Share trading platform
- Log into share trading
- Open share trading account
- Help centre
- Downloads
- Downloads
- Android app
- iOS app
- Education
- Education
- Resources
- Resources
- News & analysis
- Education hub
- Economic calendar
- Courses
- Courses
- Introduction to forex
- First steps in forex
- Next steps in forex
- Help & support
- Help & support
- About
- About
- About GO Markets
- Our awards
- Sponsorships
- Client support
- Client support
- Contact us
- FAQs
- Quick support
- Trading hours
- Fraud and scam awareness
- Legal documents
Open Account
- CFD trading
- CFD trading
- Markets
- Markets
- Products overview
- Forex
- Commodities
- Indices
- Shares
- Cryptocurrencies
- Treasuries
- ETFs
- Accounts
- Accounts
- Compare our accounts
- Our spreads
- Funding & withdrawals
- Open CFD account
- Try free demo
- Company, Trust or SMSF account
- Platforms
- Platforms
- Platforms overview
- MetaTrader 4
- MetaTrader 5
- cTrader
- cTrader copy trading
- Mobile trading platforms
- GO WebTrader
- Premium trading tools
- Premium trading tools
- Tools overview
- Trading central
- VPS
- Genesis
- Autochartist
- Share trading
- Share trading
- Invest in shares
- Invest in shares
- Trade ASX shares and ETFs
- Share trading platform
- Log into share trading
- Open share trading account
- Help centre
- Downloads
- Downloads
- Android app
- iOS app
- Education
- Education
- Resources
- Resources
- News & analysis
- Education hub
- Economic calendar
- Courses
- Courses
- Introduction to forex
- First steps in forex
- Next steps in forex
- Help & support
- Help & support
- About
- About
- About GO Markets
- Our awards
- Sponsorships
- Client support
- Home
- News & analysis
- Oil, Metals, Soft Commodities
- Gold eases heading into FOMC
News & analysisAfter a fortnight of trending north, Gold has fallen over the past 5 days. It is currently trading at around $1960, showing a slight decline of approximately 1.35% from its recent high of $1987.53.
Price is currently trying to break out of the downward channel that it has been in since late last week, so something to keep an eye on going into the key economic data due out this week.
All eyes are now on the upcoming FOMC meeting, where the market is currently pointing towards a high probability (over 98%) of a 25bps rate hike on Wednesday.
Considering the historical inverse relationship between gold and the USD, let’s explore potential reactions by Gold to the FOMC meeting:
Rate Hike Scenario (USD Strengthens): If the FOMC goes ahead with the 25bps rate hike, it could lead to a strengthening of the USD. Higher interest rates tend to attract more investments into the US currency, potentially dampening demand for gold. Consequently, gold prices might face downward pressure in this scenario.
Rate Pause Scenario (USD Weakens): Conversely, if the Fed decides to maintain interest rates at 5.25% or hints at a more dovish approach, the USD could weaken. A weaker USD often prompts investors to seek refuge in gold as a hedge against currency depreciation and inflation. As a result, gold prices could see an uptick due to increased demand.
Source: CME Fedwatch tool
With the markets almost entirely pricing in a 25bps hike, unless we get a surprise in the figure, volatility may stay subdued until Fed Chair Jerome Powell begins his press conference shortly after the announcement. Investors and traders will be eagerly analysing his language to see if there are any hints on future movements by the Fed.
Ready to start trading?
The information provided is of general nature only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on any information provided, you should consider whether the information is suitable for you and your personal circumstances and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. All opinions, conclusions, forecasts or recommendations are reasonably held at the time of compilation but are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Go Markets Pty Ltd, ABN 85 081 864 039, AFSL 254963 is a CFD issuer, and trading carries significant risks and is not suitable for everyone. You do not own or have any interest in the rights to the underlying assets. You should consider the appropriateness by reviewing our TMD, FSG, PDS and other CFD legal documents to ensure you understand the risks before you invest in CFDs. These documents are available here.
#SpotGold #SpotSilver #GoldTrading #SilverTrading #SpotWTICrudeOil #WTICrudeOil #SpotBrentCrudeOil #BrentCrudeOil #OilTrading #Commodities #CommoditiesTrading #CommodityMarket #CommodityTradingNext Article
FOMC Preview – One and Done, or More to Come? The Charts to Watch
The long-awaited July FOMC meeting is finally upon us where rates markets are pricing in a sure thing for a 25bp hike (even a small chance of a 50bp), the question that traders will be looking for to be answered is “is this it?”. With a growing number of economists calling this the top in rates, butting up against the FOMC June statement and un...
July 26, 2023Read More >Previous Article
FX Analysis – EUR Underperforms on ugly PMIs, Rally in UST Yields Support USD,CAD Up on Back of Oil Rally.
FX markets traded in a holding pattern on Monday to start the week ahead of a deluge of big data to come. EU PMI’s were ugly though, all missing exp...
July 25, 2023Read More >Please share your location to continue.
Check our help guide for more info.