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Dolar Singapura: Jeda MAS membuat pita kebijakan tetap tidak berubah – DBS
Para ekonom di DBS Group Research, yang dipimpin oleh Chua Han Teng, mengatakan bahwa Otoritas Moneter Singapura (Monetary Authority of Singapore/MAS) membiarkan pita kebijakan Nilai Tukar Efektif Nominal Dolar Singapura (Singapore Dollar/SGD) atau NEER tidak berubah pada tinjauan Oktober 2026 setelah dua langkah pengetatan sebelumnya. Jeda ini mencerminkan inflasi 2026 yang lebih rendah dari prakiraan dan ekspektasi bahwa tekanan harga yang sedikit tinggi akan mereda mulai pertengahan 2027. DBS juga merevisi naik proyeksi pertumbuhan dan inflasi Singapura.
MAS mempertahankan pengaturan SGD NEER tetap stabil
"Otoritas Moneter Singapura (Monetary Authority of Singapore/MAS) tidak memperketat kebijakan SGD untuk ketiga kalinya tahun ini."
"Kemiringan, lebar, dan titik tengah pita kebijakan SGD NEER dibiarkan tidak berubah pada tinjauan 14 Oktober, menyusul kenaikan kemiringan yang "sangat kecil" pada Juli, yang lebih rendah daripada laju "kenaikan kecil" pada April."
"Para pengambil kebijakan memprakirakan tekanan harga dasar yang sedikit tinggi dalam jangka pendek, tetapi melihat tekanan tersebut mereda lebih jelas mulai pertengahan 2027."
"Secara bersamaan, pertumbuhan ekonomi pada 3Q26 berdasarkan estimasi awal cukup kuat, tetapi ekspansi yang stabil dalam beberapa kuartal mendatang masih akan menghasilkan kesenjangan output positif yang lebih sempit, sehingga membatasi tekanan inflasi dasar."
"Kami memperhitungkan ekspansi yang lebih kuat dari prakiraan pada tiga kuartal pertama 2026, serta ekspektasi kami terhadap pertumbuhan yang telah dinormalisasi namun tetap kuat dan di atas potensi dalam beberapa kuartal mendatang."
(Artikel ini dibuat dengan bantuan alat Kecerdasan Buatan dan ditinjau oleh editor. Pelajari lebih lanjut.)
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