Berita & analisis pasar
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Amerika Latin (LATAM) melihat volume crypto lebih dari $730 miliar pada tahun 2025, lonjakan 60% tahun-ke-tahun yang membuat wilayah tersebut bertanggung jawab atas sekitar 10% dari aktivitas kripto global.
Pada tahun 2026, pemain institusional mulai menganggap serius kawasan ini, regulasi mengkristal, dan pendorong struktural dari 2025 tidak menunjukkan tanda-tanda memudar. Tetapi wilayah ini bukan cerita tunggal, dan 2026 akan menguji apakah momentum saat ini dibangun di atas fundamental yang solid atau optimisme spekulatif.
Fakta singkat
- Pengguna crypto aktif bulanan LATAM tumbuh 18% tahun-ke-tahun (YoY), tiga kali lebih cepat daripada AS.
- Argentina mencapai 12% penetrasi pengguna aktif bulanan, menyumbang lebih dari seperempat aktivitas kripto di kawasan itu.
- Lebih dari 90% arus kripto Brasil sekarang terkait stablecoin.
- Tiga negara LATAM berada di peringkat 20 besar global: Brasil (ke-5), Venezuela (ke-18), Argentina (ke-20).
- Unduhan aplikasi kripto Peru tumbuh 50% pada tahun 2025, dengan 2,9 juta unduhan.
Dari alat kelangsungan hidup hingga infrastruktur keuangan
Amerika Latin tidak merangkul cryptocurrency karena spekulasi. Ia memeluknya karena sistem keuangan tradisional berulang kali mengecewakan orang biasa. Selama 15 tahun terakhir, inflasi tahunan rata-rata di lima ekonomi terbesar di kawasan itu mencapai 13%, dibandingkan dengan hanya 2,3% di AS selama periode yang sama.
Di Venezuela, mencapai 65.000% dalam satu tahun. Di Argentina, itu melebihi 220% pada tahun 2024. Bagi jutaan orang, menyimpan tabungan dalam mata uang lokal adalah tindakan penghancuran diri yang lambat. Stablecoin menjadi respons alami. Aset digital yang dipatok ke dolar AS menawarkan penyimpanan nilai yang andal, transferabilitas tanpa batas, dan akses tanpa rekening bank.
Tidak seperti di Barat, di mana crypto dilihat lebih sebagai instrumen spekulatif, di LATAM itu telah menjadi alat keuangan yang diperlukan. Namun, penggerak adopsi tidak sepenuhnya seragam di seluruh wilayah. Brasil dan Meksiko adalah cerita institusional, didorong oleh partisipasi pasar yang diatur dan pemain keuangan mapan.
Argentina dan Venezuela tetap menjadi permainan penyimpan nilai, dengan crypto berfungsi sebagai lindung nilai langsung terhadap keruntuhan fiat. Dan Peru dan Kolombia adalah pasar yang lebih mencari hasil, di mana crypto menawarkan pengembalian yang tidak dapat ditandingi oleh rekening tabungan tradisional.
Seberapa cepat LATAM mengadopsi crypto?
Volume crypto on-chain LATAM naik 60% tahun-ke-tahun pada tahun 2025. Wilayah ini telah mencatat hampir $1.5 triliun dalam volume kumulatif sejak pertengahan 2022, memuncak pada rekor $87.7 miliar dalam satu bulan pada Desember 2024.
Pengguna crypto aktif bulanan di seluruh LATAM juga tumbuh 18% pada tahun 2025, tiga kali lebih cepat daripada AS.
Stablecoin adalah kendaraan utama yang mendorong adopsi ini. Dari $730 miliar yang diterima pada tahun 2025, $324 miliar bergerak melalui transaksi stablecoin, lonjakan 89% tahun-ke-tahun. Di Brasil, lebih dari 90% dari semua arus kripto terkait stablecoin, dan di Argentina, stablecoin menyumbang lebih dari 60% aktivitas.
Ke depan, pasar cryptocurrency Amerika Latin diperkirakan akan mencapai $442.6 miliar pada tahun 2033, tumbuh pada tingkat tahunan gabungan 10.93% dari 2025, menurut IMARC Group.
Bagi para pedagang, kecepatan adopsi kurang penting sebagai berita utama daripada apa yang mendorongnya: wilayah 650 juta orang membangun infrastruktur keuangan paralel secara real time, dengan stablecoin sebagai fondasinya.
Pergantian kelembagaan
Untuk sebagian besar sejarah crypto LATAM, adopsi dilakukan dari bawah ke atas. Pengguna ritel yang tidak memiliki rekening bank atau kekurangan bank mendorong volume melalui bursa lokal. Gambaran itu sekarang berubah di ujung atas pasar.
Pada Februari 2026, Crypto Finance Group, bagian dari operator pertukaran global terkemuka Deutsche Börse Group, mengumumkan ekspansinya ke Amerika Latin, menargetkan bank, manajer aset, dan perantara keuangan yang mencari infrastruktur penyimpanan dan perdagangan tingkat lembaga.
Bank tradisional dan fintech mengikutinya. Nubank sekarang memberi penghargaan kepada pelanggan karena memegang USDC. Bursa B3 Brasil menyetujui XRP dan SOL ETF spot pertama di dunia, di depan AS, pada tahun 2025. Pertukaran terpusat, termasuk Mercado Bitcoin, NovaDAX, dan Binance, secara kolektif telah mendaftarkan lebih dari 200 pasangan perdagangan berdenominasi BRL baru sejak awal 2024.
Pada Maret 2025, fintech Brasil Meliuz menjadi perusahaan publik pertama di negara itu yang meluncurkan strategi akumulasi Bitcoin, sekarang memegang 320 BTC.
“Adopsi Crypto di LATAM sudah berskala global. Apa yang dibutuhkan pasar sekarang adalah tata kelola tingkat institusi, dan itulah mengapa kami ada di sini,” — Stijn Vander Straeten, CEO Crypto Finance Group
Kasus penggunaan pengiriman uang kripto
Amerika Latin menerima ratusan miliar dolar setiap tahun dari pekerja di luar negeri, menjadikan pengiriman uang salah satu kasus penggunaan kripto yang paling konkret dan terukur di wilayah ini. Layanan transfer tradisional mengenakan biaya rata-rata 6,2% per transaksi. Pada transfer US$300, itu kira-kira US $20 dalam biaya.
Infrastruktur berbasis blockchain secara lebih luas menawarkan pengurangan biaya yang dramatis. Bitcoin membawa biaya sekitar US $3,12 per US $100 yang ditransfer. Sementara alternatif yang lebih murah seperti infrastruktur XRP atau Ethereum layer-2 dapat menguranginya menjadi kurang dari US $0,01.
Bagi seorang pekerja migran yang mengirim pulang $1.500 ke Peru, beralih dari bank lama menghemat lebih dari upah mingguan rata-rata Peru dalam biaya saja.
Lingkungan peraturan kripto LATAM
Variabel yang paling menentukan apakah LATAM memenuhi potensi 2026-nya adalah regulasi crypto. Dan di sini, gambarnya benar-benar bercampur.
Brasil memimpin wilayah dengan Undang-Undang Aset Virtual, yang mencakup pemisahan aset, lisensi VASP, persyaratan AML/KYC, dan standar modal. Ini juga menerapkan Aturan Perjalanan untuk transfer VASP domestik, yang mulai berlaku pada Februari 2026. Namun, beberapa proposal yang lebih kontroversial, termasuk batas US $100.000 pada transaksi stablecoin lintas batas dan larangan transfer dompet self-custodia, tetap berada di bawah konsultasi aktif.
Undang-Undang Fintech 2018 Meksiko tetap menjadi salah satu pengakuan formal paling awal di dunia atas aset virtual. Undang-Undang Fintech 2023 Chili menetapkan lisensi untuk bursa, dompet, dan penerbit stablecoin, secara resmi mengakui aset digital sebagai 'uang digital'.
Bolivia membalikkan larangan kripto selama satu dekade pada Juni 2024 dengan mengotorisasi transaksi aset digital yang diatur. Argentina memperkenalkan pendaftaran pertukaran wajib pada tahun 2025. Dan El Salvador terus memperluas inisiatif ekonomi token meskipun menghapus status tender legal Bitcoin.
Sepuluh negara di seluruh wilayah sekarang memiliki semacam kerangka kerja kripto formal. Tetapi bagi para pedagang, divergensi peraturan tetap menjadi risiko nyata, dan mengingat Brasil menerima hampir sepertiga dari semua volume kripto LATAM, setiap pembalikan kebijakan yang signifikan di sana dapat memiliki konsekuensi yang sangat besar.
Apa yang harus diperhatikan pedagang
Momentum kelembagaan Brasil adalah tren struktural yang paling signifikan. Dengan volume on-chain $318.8 miliar pada tahun 2025, Brasil secara efektif adalah pasar LATAM.
Hasil konsultasi stablecoin Brasil dapat memiliki pengaruh besar. Pembatasan stablecoin asing dalam pembayaran domestik akan secara langsung berdampak pada kelas aset yang paling banyak diperdagangkan di pasar dominan kawasan itu.
Argentina adalah permainan volatilitas. Penetrasi pengguna aktif bulanan sebesar 12% dan 5.4 juta unduhan aplikasi crypto pada tahun 2025 menandakan keterlibatan ritel yang mendalam dan berkembang.
Kolombia adalah pasar peringatan dini yang harus diperhatikan. Depresiasi peso 5,3% pada tahun 2025 dan krisis fiskal yang semakin dalam mendorong arus masuk stablecoin dalam pola yang mencerminkan lintasan Argentina di tahun-tahun sebelumnya. Jika situasi makro Kolombia semakin memburuk, adopsi crypto dapat dipercepat.
Ada juga risiko konsentrasi pertukaran yang dimainkan. Pertukaran kripto Binance adalah pertukaran utama untuk lebih dari 50% pengguna kripto LATAM. Jika bursa menghadapi tindakan regulasi, gangguan operasional, atau guncangan kompetitif, itu dapat memiliki dampak pasar yang sangat besar.
Intinya
Pasar crypto Amerika Latin telah memasuki fase baru. Penggerak struktural yang menyebabkan permintaan crypto awal di kawasan ini belum hilang: inflasi, pengiriman uang, pengecualian keuangan, dan ketidakstabilan mata uang semuanya masih berperan.
Apa yang telah berubah adalah lapisan yang dibangun di atasnya. Infrastruktur kelembagaan, kerangka peraturan, adopsi perbendaharaan perusahaan, dan modal pertukaran global mengalir ke wilayah yang, sampai saat ini, sebagian besar mandiri.
Pertumbuhan volume Brasil mendekati -250% pada tahun 2025 dan posisinya menerima hampir sepertiga dari semua kripto LATAM adalah perkembangan pasar yang menentukan. Lintasan peraturannya, keputusan kebijakan stablecoin, dan jalur ETF akan secara efektif mengatur nada untuk wilayah tersebut pada tahun 2026.
Bagi pedagang, angka pertumbuhan utama adalah nyata, tetapi begitu juga risiko konsentrasi, ketidakpastian peraturan, dan divergensi tingkat negara yang berada di bawahnya.
What is an Expert Advisor (EA)? Expert Advisors (EAs) are trading software that automatically run and trade based on their preprogrammed rules for initiating, managing, and exiting trades in the market. These automated trading systems are very popular among traders and are widely used on the Metatrader 4 and 5 platforms.
For most traders, EAs are primarily used for Forex, although they can be used on any market that’s available on the platform. These can be purchased prebuilt online from a developer or created to automate an existing strategy being used. There are many reasons why traders use them, and I will explain some of the main advantages and disadvantages.
Advantages of using an EA: Discipline - these programs are set to certain parameters and will manage your positions based on the programmed strategy. Using a set of yes/no triggers it will make trading decisions and act on them instantly without changing their decisions like humans would do. It will also manage risk based on your risk settings, so you do not overexpose your account.
Timesaving – there is only so much time a trader can look at the charts for trading opportunities before getting tired while the markets are open. An EA can monitor the charts 24 hours per day and open and close positions or even provide alerts which can save time. Emotionless – this plays a huge role in the decision making for traders.
When trading with real money traders tend to make emotional decisions and break their strategy from fear or greed. An EA removes this element and will stick to the original plan although manually intervention can still be done. Backtesting – you can backtest an EA to see whether the strategy has been profitable in the past on multiple markets.
Although these can give you confidence to use them, it’s important to keep in mind that past performance is not an indicator for future performance. Disadvantages of using an EA Technical failures – for an expert advisor to work, your platform needs to be open and running at all times which means if you experience technical issues such as a crash, software update, power outages, connection problems then this will effect the EA. Additional cost of VPS – this is a dedicated private server which allows you to remove some of the technical challenges when using an expert advisor.
There are benefits of lower latency and faster execution and also the peace of the mind that the EA is running on a private server which can be accessed from any location. It typically costs around A$30 per month to have this access. World events – an EA is programmed to trade based on technical parameters, which means should there be an unexpected world event or news announcement, this would have an impact on your trades as the the market moves in response to them.
Doesn’t teach how to trade – these are coded to trade certain parameters therefore unless you understand how to code, you can only watch. Although there are many EAs which make money for people who can’t trade, if they are unprofitable then it’s back to the drawing board; that could mean finding another EA or learning to trade. Here are example how an Expert Advisor looks running on MT4 platform: If you are interested to use an Expert Advisor and seeing how these can perform and the results, you can find them on MQL5.com.
This is the largest community for developers and signal providers to showcase their systems. You will find some for free and some that will need a monthly subscriptions to have access to them. You can run expert advisors on a GO Markets trading account.
If you need any help setting them up please contact our support team.
Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) reported its latest financial results before the market open on Thursday. The Chinese e-commerce giant reported revenue of $30.689 billion for the quarter vs. $30.364 billion expected. Earnings per share were reported at $1.75 per share vs. $1.60 per share expected.
Daniel Zhang, Chairman and CEO of Alibaba Group commented on the results: ''During the past quarter, we actively adapted to changes in the macro environment and remained focused on our long-term strategy by continuing to strengthen our capability for customer value creation.'' ''Following a relatively slow April and May, we saw signs of recovery across our businesses in June. We are confident in our growth opportunities in the long term given our high-quality consumer base and the resilience of our diversified business model catering to different demands of our customers,'' Zhang added. ''Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 resurgence, we delivered stable revenue performance year-over-year. We have narrowed losses in key strategic businesses given ongoing improvements in operating efficiency and increasing focus on cost optimization,'' said Toby Xu, CFO of Alibaba Group. ''We recently shared our plan to add Hong Kong as another primary listing venue.
By becoming primary listed on both Hong Kong and New York stock exchanges, we aim to further expand and diversify our investor base,'' Xu concluded. Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) chart Share price of Alibaba was up by around 1% on Thursday, trading at $96.93 a share. Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month -21.79% 3 Month +14% Year-to-date -19.42% 1 Year -51.97% Alibaba price targets B of A Securities $155 Bernstein $130 Benchmark $205 JP Morgan $140 HSBC $141 Citigroup $172 Truist Securities $145 Barclays $161 Alibaba Group Holdings Limited is the 31 st largest company in the world with a market cap of $256.21 billion.
You can trade Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Alibaba Group Holdings Limited, TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap
The Volatility Contraction Pattern, (VCP) is a famous trading pattern identified and dissected by Market Wizard, Mark Minervini. The premise of the pattern is that stocks in long term up trends will pause and consolidate as some holders exit their positions and the stock is accumulated again by buyers in the market. The chart pattern can provide opportunities for powerful break outs and can be used across any time frame.
This allows traders to jump in on potential moves before they explode. Mechanics of the pattern The background of the pattern is relatively simple. The stock has been previously rising in an uptrend and has found some resistance.
It then moves into a period of consolidation categorised by 2-6 retracements with each one being smaller than the previous one. The volume should usually be decreasing as the chart moves to the right. The pattern culminates in a powerful break out that can often be long lasting.
The key for this pattern is that there needs to be a contraction of volatility as the chart moves from the left to the right. This highlights that the volume available is decreasing and becoming scarce. In addition, the more dramatic in volume, the more likely that the move will be explosive.
Below the breakout is accompanied by an increase in the relative volume. In the chart below for Natural Gas, the decrease in volume can be associated with the contracting candlestick pattern. This occurs prior to the break of the long-term resistance.
The breakthrough was also associated with a large amount of buying volume. The VCP can manifest itself in other patterns such as a cup and handle patterns. The key is that the candlesticks must be decreasing volatility.
A resistance level is a key tool in technical analysis, indicating when an asset has reached a price level that market participants are unwilling to surpass. Resistance levels are often used in conjunction with support levels, or the point at which traders are unwilling to let an asset's price drop much lower. To understand this fully, it’s important to understand how support and resistance works in general.
A support line is when a price hits a low point (on the selling side) and resistance is when the price hits a high (on the buying side). If the prices rebound back to this price or continue to hit this price without surpassing it, it then starts to become a key resistance or support level. As a rule of thumb when using technical analysis, these tools become very important for some traders.
This is due to those points offering various outcomes. Whether they are a Bounce or a Break, essentially meaning, does the price hit the support/resistance and comes back (Bounce) or does it go through the support/resistance lines (Breaks). It is important to also use other indicators to accompany your technical analysis, as these movements could also easily become reversals or break outs, meaning, instead of them following your prognosis the price does the opposite.
When a price has been rejected various times, it builds an even stronger key resistance. Trading volume and sentiment can help to propel a price past this point and some of the biggest movements come after a price breaks a key resistance. Using a current trend (Fig 1) and a hypothetical trend (Fig 2), let’s take the daily timeframe for BTCUSD as an example (below).
The daily candle has broken through a key resistance of $41,000 as shown on figure 1. If a trader identifies this, they can do one of two things; trade it aggressively and place a trade as it breaks through or trade it conservatively and wait for the former resistance line to become the new support line before placing a trade (so wait for the price to bounce off as outlined on the drawn projection and circled on figure 2). Figure 1.
Figure 2. This technical analysis can be used for any asset you wish to trade: it’s transferrable and key in identifying entry or exit points of trades. By learning to spot the patterns and combining this with knowledge of trading volume and sentiment, you can start to understand the markets better.
Sources: Babypips, Investopedia, @sell9000 Twitter.
We often talk about, ‘one piece of data does not make a trend,’ that ‘a headline is just a headline’ and that ‘assumptions are not facts.’ We feel this timeless market lesson has been slightly forgotten of late and the latest US CPI data may be case-in-point judging by the market’s reaction to the read. Let have a dive into the data and the reactions. Here are the headline grabs: The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% from March, slightly below the forecasted 0.4% (good news), and increased by 3.4% year-on-year, in line with expectations.
Core inflation, (ex-volatiles like food and energy), also rose by 0.3% month on month and 3.6% year-on-year matching predictions. However, this is the main take away April was the lowest core inflation reading since April 2021 and the smallest monthly increase since December. But like I said – headlines are just headlines what’s the detail saying?
CPI gains were primarily driven by rises in shelter and energy costs. Shelter costs increased by 0.4% from March and 5.5% year-over-year, remaining a significant concern for the Fed's inflation targets. Rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent, both rose by 0.4% month-on-month, with annual increases of 5.4% and 5.8%, respectively, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures in housing and why housing is a massive issue inside the ‘sticky’ inflation metric.
Energy prices rose by 1.1% monthly and 2.6% annually, while food prices remained flat month-over-month but rose 2.2% annually. Vehicle prices declined, with used cars falling 1.4% and new cars dropping 0.4%. Other notable monthly increases were seen in apparel (1.2%), transportation services (0.9%), and medical care services (0.4%).
Transportation services saw a significant annual increase of 11.2%, while services excluding energy rose by 0.4% monthly and 3% annually. These inflation dynamics have us questioning the reactions that were seen as clearly the granular data in areas of issue like shelter, energy and services remain nearly 3 time higher than the Fed’s 2% target. Yet you wouldn’t know it.
The reaction from the three main US bourses was to reach record all time highs. The US500 for the first time ever broke through 5,300 points and the Dow is now inches from 40,000 points. Rate futures price spiked, with the September meeting expectation gauge going from a 61.4% chance of a rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to 75.3%.
The November meeting is now fully priced in and the chance of a second cut in December is above 69%. Again, I am asking the question based on the trends and longer-term data – is that likely? The trend has CPI year-on-year slowing to an average 3.6% - 1.6% away from target.
Sticky inflation is sitting at a 5% rolling average that’s 3% away from target. The reaction in treasuries hit FX particularly USD pairs. DXY was slammed falling 0.4% to 104.52 as the likes of the beaten-up EUR, GBP and other European currencies bounced back against the greenback.
These pair are tricky currently as all are facing rate cuts in the coming months – the question will be who goes first and then by how much to they cut over the new cycle? That will be the dilemma for traders as the more cuts the bigger the weaken. Then we have to look at the AUD/USD which jumped to its highest read since January 15 touching $0.6702 off the back of the CPI.
Since the mid-April low the pair has rallied almost a full 4 cents and with the RBA in a scenario of wait and see. The pressure to the upside remains in the AUD and cold lock the AUD into being the strongest currency in the G10 in the come months. It’s a pair to watch for sure.
Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - G Gapping Gapping is when the price of an asset moves higher or lower without any price activity in-between the pre-gap and post-gap prices. Learn more about Gapping. GDP Also known as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), it is the total value of goods and services manufactured in a country over a period of time.
It can also be used as the size and health indicator of a country's economy. Gearing ratio Gearing is a measurement of a company's financial leverage. In this context, leverage is the amount of funds acquired through creditor loans – or debt – compared to the funds acquired through equity capital.
Gross margin The amount of profit a company makes from its revenue is termed as Gross margin. GTC order This stands for `good `till cancelled` and is an instruction to buy or sell an asset at a specific limit. The order will remain valid and working in the market until it is either filled or cancelled.