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新加坡元:新加坡金融管理局暂停行动,维持政策区间不变——星展银行

星展银行集团研究部经济学家在 Chua Han Teng 的带领下表示,新加坡金融管理局(MAS)在2026年10月的评估中,在此前两次收紧政策后,维持新加坡元(SGD)名义有效汇率(NEER)政策区间不变。此次暂停反映出2026年通胀低于预期,以及市场预计略高的价格压力将从2027年年中开始缓解。星展银行还上调了新加坡经济增长和通胀预测。
MAS维持新加坡元NEER设定不变
"新加坡金融管理局(MAS)今年没有第三次收紧新加坡元政策。"
"在10月14日的评估中,新加坡元NEER政策区间的斜率、宽度和中点均维持不变,此前7月份的斜率仅“非常轻微”上调,低于4月份“小幅上调”的幅度。"
"政策制定者预计,近期潜在价格压力将略高,但认为该压力将从2027年年中开始更加明显地缓解。"
"与此同时,根据初步估算,2026年第三季度经济增长强劲,但未来几个季度若持续扩张,仍将导致正产出缺口收窄,从而限制潜在通胀压力。"
"我们将2026年前三个季度强于预期的增长,以及未来几个季度经济恢复正常但保持稳健、并高于潜在增速的预期纳入考量。"
(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并经编辑审核。 了解更多。)
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