市场资讯及洞察
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韩国银行(Bank of Korea, BOK)货币政策委员会于2026年1月15日决定:将韩国银行基准利率维持在2.50%,并在同一公开材料中载明该决定获得一致通过。韩国银行在决议公告中同时表示:鉴于通胀预计将逐步稳定、经济增长持续改善、且金融稳定风险仍然存在,委员会判断在评估国内外政策环境变化的同时,维持当前利率水平是适当的。
BOK对主要经济体的外部环境进一步给出方向性描述:BOK认为美国经济预计将维持稳健增长,并将支撑因素描述为人工智能领域投资增加以及减税政策;同时提到关税影响较最初预期更不显著。BOK还表示欧元区预计将呈现较为有利的增长趋势,影响因素包括财政支出扩张与相对宽松的金融条件。对中国,BOK表示由于出口转弱,中国经济预计将较上年放缓,但在提振内需措施支撑下,放缓速度可能相对温和。
在全球金融市场方面,BOK提到,主要经济体对进一步降息的预期走弱叠加对财政稳健性的担忧,推动长期政府债券收益率上升。BOK同时描述美元汇率阶段性走弱后又转强,影响因素包括好于预期的美国经济指标以及股市风险偏好变化;股票价格则在对企业盈利改善预期的带动下继续上行。BOK指出,尽管美国关税政策对全球经济造成影响,全球经济仍预计将维持温和增长。BOK同时将支撑因素表述为主要经济体的扩张性财政政策以及持续的人工智能相关投资。
在国内经济部分,BOK指出,尽管建筑投资仍显疲弱,韩国经济增长仍延续改善趋势,支撑因素包括消费持续恢复以及出口持续增长。BOK提到就业人数总体增加持续,且服务业是重要带动来源。对于前景,BOK表示在半导体行业强劲表现支撑下,出口预计仍将保持有利;国内需求也预计将延续改善趋势,其支撑因素包括消费持续恢复以及建筑投资疲弱程度缓解。BOK并写明当年增长率预计与11月预测的1.8%大体一致,同时指出与半导体行业上行趋势加速、主要经济体增长好于预期相关的上行风险有所增加。BOK认为第四季度增长较上年第三季度强劲增长所带来的基数效应影响而有所走弱,但总体仍维持“潜在改善趋势”的判断。BOK同时指出复苏呈“K形”特征,即信息技术(IT)部门表现强劲与非IT部门持续疲弱并存,从而在行业之间形成较大差异。
在通胀方面,BOK披露2025年12月消费者价格通胀小幅回落至2.3%,并将其原因描述为农畜水产品价格涨幅放缓,尽管石油产品价格涨幅加快。剔除食品与能源后的核心通胀为2.0%,与前月持平,并指出公众短期通胀预期为2.6%,同样与前月持平。对未来通胀路径,BOK表示在全球油价相对稳定的支撑下,通胀预计将逐步下降至2%水平,但较高的汇率水平可能对通胀形成上行压力。BOK还写明当年总体通胀与核心通胀预计与11月预测大体一致,分别为2.1%与2.0%。
在金融与外汇市场方面,BOK描述韩元兑美元汇率在外汇市场稳定化措施后出现明显下行,但随后又回升至1400韩元中后段区间,并将驱动因素列为美元走强、日元走弱、地缘政治风险上升以及居民持续海外投资等。BOK同时提到,由于市场对降息预期走弱,韩国国债收益率显著上升,但之后有所回落;股市则在对半导体等主要行业盈利改善预期的带动下大幅上涨。BOK在同一段落中提到家庭贷款增速放缓趋势延续,主要与住房相关贷款增幅放缓及其他贷款净偿还有关;同时指出首尔及周边地区房价仍以较快速度上涨。BOK强调需要持续关注外汇与住房市场变化。BOK提到汇率在年末稳定化措施后曾对美元下跌超过40韩元,但本年度又回到1400韩元中后段区间,因此需要高度警惕。BOK将相关背景归因于美元走强、日元走弱以及伊朗与委内瑞拉相关事件引发的地缘政治风险上升等多因素组合,并提到海外投资与外汇供需失衡因素仍在。BOK同时提示需要警惕家庭债务相关风险,并提到首尔房价上涨仍处于高位,且价格外溢效应在部分非监管地区显现。
在政策框架表述方面,BOK表示其将以中期稳定通胀于目标水平为目标开展货币政策,在监测经济增长的同时关注金融稳定。BOK在政策决定中指出,国内经济继续处于改善增长趋势,上行风险有所增加;通胀预计逐步下降,但较高汇率仍是通胀上行风险来源之一;金融稳定风险仍与首尔及周边房价、家庭债务以及汇率波动加剧相关。基于这些因素,BOK表示将一边支持经济增长恢复,一边密切监测国内外政策条件变化及其对通胀与金融稳定的影响,并据此作出政策决定。
此外,BOK在开场陈述中还披露了与货币政策决定同日的另一项决定:BOK决定将针对低信用个体工商户与中小企业的临时特别支持项目延长六个月,并说明该决定考虑了尽管经济增长持续改善,但中小企业与地区经济复苏仍相对滞后的情况。
相关官方文件和详细数据请参考:
韩国银行官方网站:https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/main/main.do
BOK 2026年1月15日《货币政策决定 + 行长开场陈述》:
https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000634/view.do?nttId=10095713&menuNo=400423&relate=Y&depth=400423&programType=newsDataEng
BOK 2026年1月15日《通货政策方向/决议文》:
https://www.bok.or.kr/portal/bbs/P0000559/view.do?nttId=10095711&menuNo=200690
BOK 2025年11月《经济展望(Economic Outlook)》:
https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000634/view.do?nttId=10094798&menuNo=400069
韩国统计局(Statistics Korea, KOSIS):https://kostat.go.kr/anse/
免责声明:本文内容仅为一般性建议,未考虑任何个人的具体投资目标、财务状况或特定需求,不构成任何形式的个人财务建议、投资建议、税务建议、法律建议或任何金融产品推荐等。本文陈述的信息基于韩国银行(BOK)等公开渠道资料。本文可能包含对市场机制与潜在情景的讨论,但不构成对未来市场走向、经济表现、投资回报或政策变化的承诺或保证。过往表现和历史数据不代表未来结果。所有投资均涉及风险,包括可能损失全部本金,外汇、差价合约(CFD)、衍生品等杠杆类产品具有高风险特性,可能导致快速且重大的损失,市场价格可能因各种因素剧烈波动。本文引用的信息来源于公开渠道,虽已尽力确保准确性,但不对信息的完全准确性、完整性、及时性或适用性作出任何明示或暗示的保证,信息可能存在延迟、需要更正,或因市场和政策环境快速变化而不再适用于当前情况。在做出任何投资或财务决策前,您应当仔细考虑自身的财务状况、投资目标和风险承受能力,进行适当性评估以确保相关产品或策略符合您的需求,并咨询持有澳大利亚金融服务牌照(AFSL)的财务顾问、税务专业人士或法律顾问,同时了解并遵守您所在司法管辖区的相关法律法规。本文提及的任何第三方机构、产品或服务不构成推荐或认可,相关商标、名称归其合法所有者。在法律允许的最大范围内,作者及相关方对因使用、依赖或无法使用本文信息而导致的任何直接、间接、附带、特殊或后果性损失不承担任何责任。投资有风险,决策需谨慎。

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - Kiwi "The Kiwi" is a slang name for New Zealand's Dollar. Key currency Key currencies are stable currencies that don't vary too much, which can be globally used to set exchange rates and support international trade. Examples of key currencies include the U.S. dollar, the British pound, the Euro, the Japanese yen, the Canadian dollar or the Swiss franc.

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - L Leverage Leverage lets traders multiply their investment without the need to invest additional capital. e.g. If a broker offers 20:1 leverage, with an investment of $1,000 a trader could open a position of $20,000. It is important to note that leverage amplifies both profits and losses, it is critical this be factored in when determining risk and potential losses.
Liabilities Liabilities are a companies debts and financial obligations represented on its balance sheet. This is critical in determining the value of a company when potentially investing and liabilities offset company assets. Limit orders Limit orders execute a trade at a particular level that is more favorable than the marketing price at that time.
Limit down / limit up Limit down is the maximum amount a commodity future may decrease, while limit up is the maximum amount one may increase, in a single trading session. Liquidity (Market liquidity) Liquidity is used in finance to describe how easily an asset can be traded. When there is a high volume of active traders of an asset, there is high liquidity, and it is easier to find buyers and sellers for that asset.
Low liquidity markets can be difficult to trade, as there may not be many buyers and sellers willing to trade at an agreeable price. London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) LIBOR is a daily reference rate based on the interest rates at which banks borrowed unsecured funds from other banks in the London interbank market, however LIBOR is being gradually discontinued. USD-LIBOR has been replaced by SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) and GBP-LIBOR has been replaced by SONIA (Sterling overnight index average).
Long "Going long" refers to taking a position that makes profit if an asset’s market price rises. Also referred to as "taking a long position". Lot A lot is a standardised group of assets that is traded instead of a single asset.
In the futures markets, lots are referred to as "contract sizes".

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - J

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - I Iceberg order An Iceberg order divides large orders into smaller segments. They are often used by traders for the purpose of hiding the full order quantity in order to minimise market disruption. Ichimoku Cloud The Ichimoku Cloud is a technical analysis indicator that shows support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction.
Roughly translated from Japanese, 'Ichimoku Kinko Hyo' means ‘one look equilibrium chart,' meaning traders can receive an array of information with just one look. In the money In the money (ITM) is defined by an option’s state of ‘moneyness’. More specifically, it refers to when an option goes beyond its strike price, giving it an intrinsic value of more than $0.
Index An index is a measure of something. In trading, an index is a grouping of financial assets that are used to give a performance indicator of a particular sector. Indices trading Indices trading refers to traders' endeavors to make money on the price movements of indices.
Inflation Inflation is the increase in the cost of goods and services in an economy, or the decline in the purchasing power of money (devaluing of currency). Learn more about Inflation. Interest Interest is the charge levied against a party for borrowing money, which can be either a cost or a means of making profit for a trader.
In trading, it can also refer to the amount of ownership a stockholder has in a company. Interest rates The amount that a lender charges to a borrower for the loan of an asset. The rate is expressed as a percentage of the loan.
Intrinsic value Intrinsic value is a measure of the perceived value of an asset. This is not always the same as the current market price because assets can be over- or undervalued. Interbank/Interdealer Market A market only open to large financial institutions, to trade between them.
This market is not restricted to a physical location and it does not have a centralised exchange. Investment capital A trader’s investment capital is the financial resources they currently have available for trading. It could be in the form of money or other assets.
It can also refer to funds invested in a firm or company for the purpose of furthering its business objectives. Investor An investor is a person who devotes capital to an investment, with the hope of seeing a return. The main goal of any investor is to minimise risk and maximise return.
IPO IPO stands for initial public offering. This is the first sale of a stock by a company, when it goes public on a stock exchange. This can also be known as floating, flotation, or just ‘going public’.

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - H Handle In trading, the term ‘handle’ has two meanings, depending on which market you are referring to. In most markets, handle is the the part of a price quote that exists to the left of the decimal point in the full quote. In forex, it refers to the part of the quote that you see in both the buy and sell price.
Hawks and doves The terms used by analysts and traders to classify the members of the Central Bank committee ahead of their votes and monetary policy is known as Hawks and doves. Learn more about Hawks and Doves Hedge/Hedging A hedge is an investment or trade designed to reduce your existing exposure to risk. The process of reducing risk via investments is termed as 'hedging'.
Heikin Ashi Heikin Ashi is a type of chart pattern used in technical analysis. Heikin Ashi charts are similar to candlestick charts, but the main difference is that a Heikin Ashi chart uses the daily price averages to show the median price movement of an asset. High frequency trading A form of advanced trading platform that processes a high numbers of trades very quickly using powerful computing technology is termed as High Frequency Trading (HFT).
It can be used to either find the best price for a single large order, or to find opportunities for profit in the market in real time.

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - F Face Value Face value represents the amount that must be paid out at a bond or stock's maturity. It may also mean the dollar value of a security, set by the issuer. Fair value Fair value is the present value of a stock, once the stock's intrinsic value is considered.
This may cause debate, as fair value is based on a subjective understanding. Federal Reserve Referred to as the ‘Fed’ for short, the Federal Reserve is the central banking system in the United States. Fiat currency Money that is given legal tender status by a government and is not linked to the value of physical commodities like gold or silver.
Fibonacci retracement A Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool that can help traders identify when to open and close a position, or when to apply stops and limits to their trades. It involves drawing trend lines on price charts between two points, usually the price highs and lows, in order to find possible areas of support and resistance. Fill Fill is the term used to refer to the completion of an order to trade a financial asset.
There is no guarantee that every trade will become filled. Financial instrument A financial instrument is a contract between two parties, which act as financial assets. These can be traded and settled.
Financial market A marketplace where the trading of securities occurs. The financial market provides an avenue for the purchase and sale of financial assets. Fixed costs Fixed costs are the expenses incurred by a company that are not impacted by the scale of production.
Fixed costs remain constant for a given period. Floating exchange rate A floating exchange rate is where the price of a currency is determined by supply and demand factors, relative to other currencies. Currencies with floating exchange rates can be traded without any restrictions, unlike fixed exchange rates.
FOMC The FOMC stands for the Federal Open Market Committee, which is a committee of the Federal Reserve System. The FOMC is in charge of decisions around interest rates and the US money supply. Forex Forex is a global marketplace for trading international currencies.
It is sometimes referred to as foreign exchange or FX. Forward contract A contract that has a defined date of expiry, which obliges the holder to buy or sell an asset by a specific date. The contract can vary and be customised between different instances.
Fundamental analysis Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of an asset and analysing the factors that could influence its price in the future. This form of analysis is based on external events and influences, as well as financial statements and industry trends. Learn more about exit systems for a fundamental approach Futures contract A futures contract is an agreement between to buy or sell an asset at a defined price on a specified date in the future.
They are also sometimes referred to simply as ‘futures.'