市場新聞與洞察

Not even one week after crypto exchange FTX officially filed for bankruptcy another Cryptocurrency entity has felt the wrath and submitted its own Chapter 11. The spread and contagion effect from FTX was always a concern and now cryptocurrency lender BlockFi has fallen. BlockFi had been struggling even prior to the FTX collapse.

In fact, the company was bailed out with credit support form FTX of which the company could access up to USD 400 million. BlockFi is not a traditional exchange, rather a lender in which it used cryptocurrency assets as collateral for the loans. As the value of the crypto assets has declined the value of the company’s collateral became lower and lower and the company was unable to cover its liabilities.

Once the FTX crisis broke out, the support the credit offered by FTX was of course no longer available leading to a liquidity crisis. The bankruptcy filing outlined that the company currently has 256.9 million dollars of cash on hand which it says will provide enough liquidity in the short term to keep it operational until a restructuring can be done. The company owes approximately 100,000 creditors and the top creditor is the SEC is number which is owed 100 million dollars to settle charges it has in relation to one of its products that it offered.

The company has halted withdrawals from its platform and acknowledged the significant exposure it has to FTX. Will BlockFi end up like FTX? The manager of the financial group that advising BlockFi has made it clear that the situations Is not the same as FTX.

This is because they believe that the management teams of BlockFi are experienced, competent, and responsible as opposed to the leadership at FTX. There have been to date, “No failure of corporate controls and the company’s financial statements have shown to be trustworthy”. The difference in management and leadership does represent a potential safe exit for BlockFi and perhaps a lower level of negative impact on the crypto sector.

Ultimately, the situation surrounding BlockFi just highlights how precarious the whole FTX crisis is and the potential for other firms to be caught up in the fiasco. With such an interconnected market other exchanges and entities need to stay vigilant and aware of their exposure to the falling value of their assets.

The Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD) announced its unaudited Q3 financial results on Monday. The company beat revenue estimates for the quarter, but fell short of earnings per share (EPS) estimates. Revenue reported at $4.991 billion (an increase of 65% year-over-year) vs. $4.315 billion estimate.

EPS at $0.302 per share vs. analyst estimate of $0.673 per share. ''We continued to deepen our value creation in the third quarter,'' Lei Chen, Chairman and CEO of the company said in a press release. ''We will increase our R&D investment to further enhance the supply chain efficiency and agricultural digital inclusion,'' Chen added. The latest results had a positive impact on the stock price. Shares of Pinduoduo were up by around 14% on Monday, trading $74.97 a share.

Stock performance 1 month: +36.93% 3 month: +69% Year-to-date: +78% 1 year: +34% Pinduoduo price targets Citigroup: $79 Barclays: $70 B of A Securities: $89 HSBC: $93 JP Morgan: $23 DBS Bank: $96 Macquarie: $104 Pinduoduo is the 136 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $94.92 billion. You can trade Pinduoduo Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX, ASX, LSE and DE with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Pinduoduo Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

Phillip Lowe, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, (RBA) has issued an apology to the Australian public in his most recent statement. Lowe specifically apologised for providing guidance in 2020 and 2021 that the official cash would only rise in 2024. Instead, rate rises began earlier this year and rises have occurred in 7 straight months.

During that time many Australians took out home with the understanding of frozen rates at least until 2024. With inflation set to worsen and rise beyond 8% by the end of the year and the 30-day Interbank Cash rate futures pointing to a maximum cash rate of 3.865% by October next year it is not expected to get easier for Australian households. Furthermore, with the cost of living increasing, it is becoming increasingly difficult for Australians to afford their mortgages.

The apology from Lowe, whilst sincere does little to alleviate the short-term pain that will be felt by many families who have taken out home loans in the prior 12-18 months. The importance of the statements made by Lowe today are that the RBA will now adjust its messaging to the public to regain trust. Lowe attempted to justify the communication strategy at the time by outlining the exceptionality of the Pandemic and the circumstances that it brought, stating that, “It was dire times, and we decided that we would do everything we could.” Currently, the Australian dollar is $0.66 after bottoming at $0.62. as the USD has weakened and the Federals Reserve has become more open to lowering rates the AUD has recovered and regained some momentum.

The question remains, can the RBA build up trust with the public as it pushes forward in its fight against inflation or has faith in the Country’s central bank been diminished.

The USDCHF has just reached a significant support zone providing a potential entry for a low-risk high return trade. In recent weeks the USD has an aggressive pulled back on the back of weaker then expected inflation figures. This has benefited the CHF and most other non-USD currencies as expectations of a potential pivot grow and money moves away from the Greenback.

From a technical perspective the price of the USDCHF has fallen to its lowest price since August 2022. The price has also largely been in a ranging pattern since 2010 between 1.03436 0.8741. In addition, besides the Covid years, the price has been in a tighter range between 0.94 and 1.03.

The current price zone has been a really important area of support and in the most recent test of this area, in August the price bounced quite strongly. Interestingly, during times of higher market volatility the price extends its lower bound of the range from 0.94 to 0.87. For example, the prices extended its range during the GFC and the Covid pandemic.

However, generally, the pair trades in the tighter range. Therefore, as it is arguable if the current market conditions represent volatility as sinister as the GFC or the Pandemic this current price action lends itself to a potential bounce over a further sell off. The bounce is also supported by the RSI which is not just oversold but showing the potential for a divergence.

With the price at an ideal entry point, it allows for a high potential risk reward trade. The trade’s target is 1.0075 as seen on the price chart.

Shares of Deere rise as financial results exceed expectations Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) announced financial results on Wednesday for the fourth quarter that ended on October 30, 2022. The US manufacturer of farm machinery and industrial equipment reported revenue of $15.536 billion for the quarter, which was above analyst forecast of $13.443 billion. Earnings per share reported at $7.44 per share vs. $7.112 per share expected. ''Deere’s strong performance for both the fourth quarter and full year is a tribute to our dedicated team of employees, dealers, and suppliers throughout the world,'' John C.

May, CEO of the company said in a statement. ''We’re proud of their extraordinary efforts to overcome supply-chain constraints, increase factory production, and deliver products to our customers,'' he added. The stock was up by around 5% on Wednesday, trading at $441.33. Stock performance 1 month: +12.79% 3 month: +69% Year-to-date: +67% 1 year: +94% Deere & Company price targets Deutsche Bank: $374 Goldman Sachs: $420 Argus Research: $420 Citigroup: $425 Morgan Stanley: $424 Credit Suisse: $447 Wells Fargo: $423 Oppenheimer: $365 Jefferies: $400 JP Morgan: $325 Deere & Company is the 84 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $132.90 billion.

You can trade Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX, ASX, LSE and DE with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Deere & Company, TradingView, MarketWatch, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

Medtronic posts mixed results Medtronic Plc (NYSE: MDT) reported latest financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2023, which ended October 28, 2022 on Tuesday. The medical technology company posted mixed results for the quarter. Revenue reported at $7.585 billion (down 3% year-over-year) vs. $7.698 billion expected.

Earnings per share reported at $1.30 per share (down by 2% year-over-year) vs. $1.277 per share estimate. "Slower than predicted procedure and supply recovery drove revenue below our expectations this quarter. We continue to take decisive actions to improve the overall performance of the company, including streamlining our organizational structure, strengthening our supply chain, driving a performance culture, and strategically allocating capital to support our best growth opportunities with the investments they deserve," Geoff Martha, CEO of the company said in press release. "We're seeing the benefit of these changes – along with new incentives and strong execution – in certain businesses, and we're focused on ensuring these efforts translate into improved performance across the company. Looking ahead, we're confident we have a clear path to delivering durable growth and increased shareholder value," Martha concluded.

The stock was down by around 5% on Tuesday at $77.74 a share. Stock performance 1 month: -2.62% 3 month: -8.79% Year-to-date: -20.45% 1 year: -27.42% Medtronic price targets Barclays: $90 Truist Securities: $89 Mizuho: $100 Jefferies: $87 Morgan Stanley: $97 RBC Capital: $110 Wells Fargo: $96 Stifel: $105 Medtronic is the 114 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $109.37 billion. You can trade Medtronic Plc (NYSE: MDT) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX, ASX, LSE and DE with GO Markets as a Share CFD.

Sources: Medtronic Plc, TradingView, MarketWatch, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap