市場新聞與洞察
透過專家洞察、新聞與技術分析,助你領先市場,制定交易決策。

2025年,拉丁美洲(LATAM)的加密货币交易量超过7300亿美元,同比增长60%,这使该地区约占全球加密活动的10%。
2026年,机构参与者开始认真对待该地区,监管正在具体化,2025年以来的结构性驱动因素没有减弱的迹象。但是该地区不是一个单一的故事,2026年将考验当前的势头是建立在坚实的基本面还是投机乐观情绪之上。
事实速览
- 拉丁美洲每月活跃的加密用户同比增长18%,是美国的三倍。
- 阿根廷的月活跃用户渗透率达到12%,占该地区加密活动的四分之一以上。
- 现在,超过90%的巴西加密货币流量与稳定币有关。
- 三个拉美国家进入全球前20名:巴西(第5位)、委内瑞拉(第18位)、阿根廷(第20位)。
- 秘鲁的加密应用程序下载量在2025年增长了50%,下载量为290万次。

从生存工具到金融基础设施
由于投机,拉丁美洲没有接受加密货币。它之所以接受它,是因为传统的金融体系一再让普通百姓失望。在过去的15年中,该地区五个最大经济体的平均年通货膨胀率为13%,而同期美国的平均年通货膨胀率仅为2.3%。
在委内瑞拉,这一比例在一年内达到了65,000%。在阿根廷,这一比例在2024年超过了220%。对于数百万人来说,以当地货币持有储蓄是一种缓慢的自我毁灭行为。稳定币成为了自然的反应。与美元挂钩的数字资产提供了可靠的价值储存、无国界的转移性以及无需银行账户即可访问。
与西方不同,在西方,加密货币更多地被视为一种投机工具,而在拉丁美洲,它已成为一种必要的金融工具。但是,该地区的采用驱动因素并不完全统一。巴西和墨西哥是机构故事,受监管的市场参与和成熟的金融参与者的推动。
阿根廷和委内瑞拉仍然是保值游戏,加密货币是抵御法币崩盘的直接对冲工具。秘鲁和哥伦比亚是更追求收益的市场,加密货币提供的回报是传统储蓄账户无法比拟的。

拉美采用加密货币的速度有多快?
2025年,拉美的链上加密货币交易量同比增长了60%。自2022年年中以来,该地区的累计交易量已达到近1.5万亿美元,在2024年12月达到创纪录的单月877亿美元的峰值。
2025年,拉丁美洲的月活跃加密用户也增长了18%,是美国的三倍。
稳定币是推动这种采用的主要工具。在2025年收到的7,300亿美元中,有3,240亿美元是通过稳定币交易转移的,同比增长89%。在巴西,超过90%的加密货币流量与稳定币相关,而在阿根廷,稳定币占活动的60%以上。
展望未来,根据IMARC集团的数据,到2033年,拉丁美洲的加密货币市场预计将达到4426亿美元,从2025年起将以10.93%的复合年增长率增长。
对于交易者而言,采用速度与其说是头条新闻,不如说是推动采用速度的原因:该地区有6.5亿人以稳定币为基础,实时建设平行金融基础设施。
机构转向
在拉美的大部分加密历史中,采用率是自下而上的。没有银行账户或银行账户不足的零售用户通过本地交易所推动了交易量。现在,高端市场的这种情况正在发生变化。
2026年2月,全球领先交易所运营商德意志交易所集团旗下的Crypto Finance集团宣布向拉丁美洲扩张,目标是寻求机构级托管和交易基础设施的银行、资产管理公司和金融中介机构。
传统银行和金融科技公司纷纷效仿。Nubank现在奖励持有USDC的客户。巴西的B3交易所于2025年批准了世界上第一只现货XRP和SOL ETF,领先于美国。自2024年初以来,包括梅尔卡多比特币、NovaDAX和币安在内的中心化交易所共上市了200多个新的以巴西雷亚尔计价的交易对。
2025年3月,巴西金融科技公司Meliuz成为该国第一家推出比特币增持策略的上市公司,目前持有320比特币。
“拉丁美洲已经在全球范围内采用加密货币。市场现在需要的是机构级治理,这正是我们来到这里的原因,” ——加密金融集团首席执行官Stijn Vander Straeten
加密汇款用例
拉丁美洲每年从海外工人那里获得数千亿美元,这使汇款成为该地区最具体、最可衡量的加密用例之一。传统的转账服务平均每笔交易收取6.2%的费用。对于300美元的转账,大约相当于20美元的费用。
基于区块链的基础设施可以更广泛地降低费用。比特币使每转账100美元的成本约为3.12美元。而像XRP或以太坊第二层基础设施这样更便宜的替代方案可以将其降低到0.01美元以下。
对于向秘鲁汇款1,500美元的移民工人来说,仅从传统银行转账就能节省的费用超过秘鲁每周平均工资。
LATAM 的加密监管环境
最能决定LATAM是否发挥其2026年潜力的变量是加密监管。在这里,情况确实好坏参半。
巴西的《虚拟资产法》在该地区处于领先地位,该法涵盖资产隔离、VASP 许可、AML/KYC 要求和资本标准。它还实施了国内 VASP 转账旅行规则,该规则于 2026 年 2 月生效。但是,一些更具争议的提案,包括对跨境稳定币交易设定10万美元的上限以及禁止自托管钱包转账,仍在积极磋商中。
墨西哥的2018年金融科技法仍然是世界上最早正式承认虚拟资产的法规之一。智利的2023年金融科技法为交易所、钱包和稳定币发行人设立了许可证,正式承认数字资产为 “数字货币”。
玻利维亚于2024年6月批准了受监管的数字资产交易,撤销了长达十年的加密禁令。阿根廷于2025年引入了强制性交易所登记。尽管取消了比特币的法定货币地位,但萨尔瓦多仍在继续扩大代币化经济举措。
该地区的十个国家现在拥有某种正式的加密框架。但是对于交易者来说,监管分歧仍然是一种现实风险,鉴于巴西获得的拉美加密货币交易量占拉美所有加密货币交易量的近三分之一,任何重大的政策逆转都可能产生巨大的后果。

交易者应该注意什么
巴西的制度势头是最重要的结构性趋势。到2025年,巴西的链上交易量为3188亿美元,实际上是拉丁美洲市场。
巴西稳定币磋商的结果可能会产生很大的影响。限制在国内支付中使用外国稳定币将直接影响该地区主导市场中交易量最大的资产类别。
阿根廷是波动率的玩家。2025年,月活跃用户渗透率为12%,加密应用程序下载量为540万次,这表明零售参与度不断提高。
哥伦比亚是一个值得关注的预警市场。2025年比索贬值5.3%,财政危机的加深正在推动稳定币流入,其模式反映了阿根廷早年的发展轨迹。如果哥伦比亚的宏观形势进一步恶化,加密货币的采用可能会加速。
交易所集中风险也在起作用。币安加密货币交易所是超过50%的拉丁美洲加密用户的主要交易所。如果交易所面临任何监管行动、运营中断或竞争冲击,可能会对市场产生巨大的影响。
底线
拉丁美洲的加密市场进入了一个新阶段。导致该地区最初出现加密需求的结构性驱动因素尚未消失:通货膨胀、汇款、金融排斥和货币不稳定都仍在起作用。
所发生的变化是建立在它们之上的图层。机构基础设施、监管框架、企业资金的采用以及流入直到最近还基本自给自足的地区的全球交易所资本。
巴西在2025年将近-250%的交易量增长及其占拉美所有加密货币的近三分之一的地位是决定性的市场发展。其监管轨迹、稳定币政策决策和ETF渠道将有效地为该地区在2026年定下基调。
对于交易者而言,总体增长数据是真实的,但其背后的集中风险、监管不确定性以及国家层面的分歧也是真实的。


What is an Expert Advisor (EA)? Expert Advisors (EAs) are trading software that automatically run and trade based on their preprogrammed rules for initiating, managing, and exiting trades in the market. These automated trading systems are very popular among traders and are widely used on the Metatrader 4 and 5 platforms.
For most traders, EAs are primarily used for Forex, although they can be used on any market that’s available on the platform. These can be purchased prebuilt online from a developer or created to automate an existing strategy being used. There are many reasons why traders use them, and I will explain some of the main advantages and disadvantages.
Advantages of using an EA: Discipline - these programs are set to certain parameters and will manage your positions based on the programmed strategy. Using a set of yes/no triggers it will make trading decisions and act on them instantly without changing their decisions like humans would do. It will also manage risk based on your risk settings, so you do not overexpose your account.
Timesaving – there is only so much time a trader can look at the charts for trading opportunities before getting tired while the markets are open. An EA can monitor the charts 24 hours per day and open and close positions or even provide alerts which can save time. Emotionless – this plays a huge role in the decision making for traders.
When trading with real money traders tend to make emotional decisions and break their strategy from fear or greed. An EA removes this element and will stick to the original plan although manually intervention can still be done. Backtesting – you can backtest an EA to see whether the strategy has been profitable in the past on multiple markets.
Although these can give you confidence to use them, it’s important to keep in mind that past performance is not an indicator for future performance. Disadvantages of using an EA Technical failures – for an expert advisor to work, your platform needs to be open and running at all times which means if you experience technical issues such as a crash, software update, power outages, connection problems then this will effect the EA. Additional cost of VPS – this is a dedicated private server which allows you to remove some of the technical challenges when using an expert advisor.
There are benefits of lower latency and faster execution and also the peace of the mind that the EA is running on a private server which can be accessed from any location. It typically costs around A$30 per month to have this access. World events – an EA is programmed to trade based on technical parameters, which means should there be an unexpected world event or news announcement, this would have an impact on your trades as the the market moves in response to them.
Doesn’t teach how to trade – these are coded to trade certain parameters therefore unless you understand how to code, you can only watch. Although there are many EAs which make money for people who can’t trade, if they are unprofitable then it’s back to the drawing board; that could mean finding another EA or learning to trade. Here are example how an Expert Advisor looks running on MT4 platform: If you are interested to use an Expert Advisor and seeing how these can perform and the results, you can find them on MQL5.com.
This is the largest community for developers and signal providers to showcase their systems. You will find some for free and some that will need a monthly subscriptions to have access to them. You can run expert advisors on a GO Markets trading account.
If you need any help setting them up please contact our support team.


Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) reported its latest financial results before the market open on Thursday. The Chinese e-commerce giant reported revenue of $30.689 billion for the quarter vs. $30.364 billion expected. Earnings per share were reported at $1.75 per share vs. $1.60 per share expected.
Daniel Zhang, Chairman and CEO of Alibaba Group commented on the results: ''During the past quarter, we actively adapted to changes in the macro environment and remained focused on our long-term strategy by continuing to strengthen our capability for customer value creation.'' ''Following a relatively slow April and May, we saw signs of recovery across our businesses in June. We are confident in our growth opportunities in the long term given our high-quality consumer base and the resilience of our diversified business model catering to different demands of our customers,'' Zhang added. ''Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 resurgence, we delivered stable revenue performance year-over-year. We have narrowed losses in key strategic businesses given ongoing improvements in operating efficiency and increasing focus on cost optimization,'' said Toby Xu, CFO of Alibaba Group. ''We recently shared our plan to add Hong Kong as another primary listing venue.
By becoming primary listed on both Hong Kong and New York stock exchanges, we aim to further expand and diversify our investor base,'' Xu concluded. Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) chart Share price of Alibaba was up by around 1% on Thursday, trading at $96.93 a share. Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month -21.79% 3 Month +14% Year-to-date -19.42% 1 Year -51.97% Alibaba price targets B of A Securities $155 Bernstein $130 Benchmark $205 JP Morgan $140 HSBC $141 Citigroup $172 Truist Securities $145 Barclays $161 Alibaba Group Holdings Limited is the 31 st largest company in the world with a market cap of $256.21 billion.
You can trade Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Alibaba Group Holdings Limited, TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

The Volatility Contraction Pattern, (VCP) is a famous trading pattern identified and dissected by Market Wizard, Mark Minervini. The premise of the pattern is that stocks in long term up trends will pause and consolidate as some holders exit their positions and the stock is accumulated again by buyers in the market. The chart pattern can provide opportunities for powerful break outs and can be used across any time frame.
This allows traders to jump in on potential moves before they explode. Mechanics of the pattern The background of the pattern is relatively simple. The stock has been previously rising in an uptrend and has found some resistance.
It then moves into a period of consolidation categorised by 2-6 retracements with each one being smaller than the previous one. The volume should usually be decreasing as the chart moves to the right. The pattern culminates in a powerful break out that can often be long lasting.
The key for this pattern is that there needs to be a contraction of volatility as the chart moves from the left to the right. This highlights that the volume available is decreasing and becoming scarce. In addition, the more dramatic in volume, the more likely that the move will be explosive.
Below the breakout is accompanied by an increase in the relative volume. In the chart below for Natural Gas, the decrease in volume can be associated with the contracting candlestick pattern. This occurs prior to the break of the long-term resistance.
The breakthrough was also associated with a large amount of buying volume. The VCP can manifest itself in other patterns such as a cup and handle patterns. The key is that the candlesticks must be decreasing volatility.


A resistance level is a key tool in technical analysis, indicating when an asset has reached a price level that market participants are unwilling to surpass. Resistance levels are often used in conjunction with support levels, or the point at which traders are unwilling to let an asset's price drop much lower. To understand this fully, it’s important to understand how support and resistance works in general.
A support line is when a price hits a low point (on the selling side) and resistance is when the price hits a high (on the buying side). If the prices rebound back to this price or continue to hit this price without surpassing it, it then starts to become a key resistance or support level. As a rule of thumb when using technical analysis, these tools become very important for some traders.
This is due to those points offering various outcomes. Whether they are a Bounce or a Break, essentially meaning, does the price hit the support/resistance and comes back (Bounce) or does it go through the support/resistance lines (Breaks). It is important to also use other indicators to accompany your technical analysis, as these movements could also easily become reversals or break outs, meaning, instead of them following your prognosis the price does the opposite.
When a price has been rejected various times, it builds an even stronger key resistance. Trading volume and sentiment can help to propel a price past this point and some of the biggest movements come after a price breaks a key resistance. Using a current trend (Fig 1) and a hypothetical trend (Fig 2), let’s take the daily timeframe for BTCUSD as an example (below).
The daily candle has broken through a key resistance of $41,000 as shown on figure 1. If a trader identifies this, they can do one of two things; trade it aggressively and place a trade as it breaks through or trade it conservatively and wait for the former resistance line to become the new support line before placing a trade (so wait for the price to bounce off as outlined on the drawn projection and circled on figure 2). Figure 1.
Figure 2. This technical analysis can be used for any asset you wish to trade: it’s transferrable and key in identifying entry or exit points of trades. By learning to spot the patterns and combining this with knowledge of trading volume and sentiment, you can start to understand the markets better.
Sources: Babypips, Investopedia, @sell9000 Twitter.


We often talk about, ‘one piece of data does not make a trend,’ that ‘a headline is just a headline’ and that ‘assumptions are not facts.’ We feel this timeless market lesson has been slightly forgotten of late and the latest US CPI data may be case-in-point judging by the market’s reaction to the read. Let have a dive into the data and the reactions. Here are the headline grabs: The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% from March, slightly below the forecasted 0.4% (good news), and increased by 3.4% year-on-year, in line with expectations.
Core inflation, (ex-volatiles like food and energy), also rose by 0.3% month on month and 3.6% year-on-year matching predictions. However, this is the main take away April was the lowest core inflation reading since April 2021 and the smallest monthly increase since December. But like I said – headlines are just headlines what’s the detail saying?
CPI gains were primarily driven by rises in shelter and energy costs. Shelter costs increased by 0.4% from March and 5.5% year-over-year, remaining a significant concern for the Fed's inflation targets. Rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent, both rose by 0.4% month-on-month, with annual increases of 5.4% and 5.8%, respectively, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures in housing and why housing is a massive issue inside the ‘sticky’ inflation metric.
Energy prices rose by 1.1% monthly and 2.6% annually, while food prices remained flat month-over-month but rose 2.2% annually. Vehicle prices declined, with used cars falling 1.4% and new cars dropping 0.4%. Other notable monthly increases were seen in apparel (1.2%), transportation services (0.9%), and medical care services (0.4%).
Transportation services saw a significant annual increase of 11.2%, while services excluding energy rose by 0.4% monthly and 3% annually. These inflation dynamics have us questioning the reactions that were seen as clearly the granular data in areas of issue like shelter, energy and services remain nearly 3 time higher than the Fed’s 2% target. Yet you wouldn’t know it.
The reaction from the three main US bourses was to reach record all time highs. The US500 for the first time ever broke through 5,300 points and the Dow is now inches from 40,000 points. Rate futures price spiked, with the September meeting expectation gauge going from a 61.4% chance of a rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to 75.3%.
The November meeting is now fully priced in and the chance of a second cut in December is above 69%. Again, I am asking the question based on the trends and longer-term data – is that likely? The trend has CPI year-on-year slowing to an average 3.6% - 1.6% away from target.
Sticky inflation is sitting at a 5% rolling average that’s 3% away from target. The reaction in treasuries hit FX particularly USD pairs. DXY was slammed falling 0.4% to 104.52 as the likes of the beaten-up EUR, GBP and other European currencies bounced back against the greenback.
These pair are tricky currently as all are facing rate cuts in the coming months – the question will be who goes first and then by how much to they cut over the new cycle? That will be the dilemma for traders as the more cuts the bigger the weaken. Then we have to look at the AUD/USD which jumped to its highest read since January 15 touching $0.6702 off the back of the CPI.
Since the mid-April low the pair has rallied almost a full 4 cents and with the RBA in a scenario of wait and see. The pressure to the upside remains in the AUD and cold lock the AUD into being the strongest currency in the G10 in the come months. It’s a pair to watch for sure.

Trading terms glossary A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M - N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z - G Gapping Gapping is when the price of an asset moves higher or lower without any price activity in-between the pre-gap and post-gap prices. Learn more about Gapping. GDP Also known as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), it is the total value of goods and services manufactured in a country over a period of time.
It can also be used as the size and health indicator of a country's economy. Gearing ratio Gearing is a measurement of a company's financial leverage. In this context, leverage is the amount of funds acquired through creditor loans – or debt – compared to the funds acquired through equity capital.
Gross margin The amount of profit a company makes from its revenue is termed as Gross margin. GTC order This stands for `good `till cancelled` and is an instruction to buy or sell an asset at a specific limit. The order will remain valid and working in the market until it is either filled or cancelled.
