Your complete day-by-day guide to Australian medal chances and market-moving moments during the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

‍

Quick Facts

• Opening Ceremony: 6:00 am, 7 February AEDT (8:00 pm, 6 February Milan).
• Prime viewing window: 4:00 am to 2:00 pm AEDT daily coincides with pre-market and ASX trading hours.
• Medal ceremonies: Typically run from 6:00 am to 7:00 am AEDT. Perfect for pre-market position adjustments.
• 53 Australian athletes competing: The second-largest Australian Winter Olympic team ever, with 10 genuine medal contenders.

‍

GO Markets Olympic Schedule

Olympic Schedule

All times shown in AEDT

= Australian competing

🏅 = AUS medal chance

🔥 = Potential volatility

Feb 7

06:00

Opening Ceremony

Live from Milano

🔥

21:30

Men's Downhill Final

Harry Laidlaw

🔥

23:00

Women's 10km+10km Skiathlon

Rosie Fordham, Phoebe Cridland

🔥

Feb 8

05:30

Men's Snowboard Big Air Final

Valentino Guseli

🏅🔥

05:57

Women's NH Individual Final

Global Superstars (Ski Jumping)

🔥

Feb 10

05:30

Women's Snowboard Big Air Final

Tess Coady, Ally Hickman

🏅

Feb 12

00:15

Women’s Moguls Final

Jakara Anthony, Emma Bosco, Charlotte Wilson

🏅🔥

22:15

Men’s Moguls Final

Matt Graham, Jackson Harvey, George Murphy

🏅

Feb 13

00:56

Men's Snowboard Cross Finals

Adam Lambert, Cam Bolton, Jarryd Hughes

🏅

19:30

Women's Snowboard Cross Finals

Josie Baff, Abbey Wilson, Mia Clift

🏅

Feb 14

21:46

Women’s Dual Moguls Final

Jakara Anthony, Charlotte Wilson

🏅

Feb 15

08:42

Short Track (1500m Final)

Brendan Corey

21:46

Men’s Dual Moguls Final

Matt Graham, George Murphy

🏅

Feb 16

23:00

Alpine Skiing (Men's Slalom)

Harry Laidlaw

Feb 17

06:00

Pairs Figure Skating Final

A. Golubeva & H. Giotopoulos Moore

07:06

Women’s Monobob Final

Bree Walker

🏅

Feb 18

21:30

Women’s Aerials Final

Laura Peel, Danielle Scott, Abbey Willcox

🏅

23:30

Women’s Slalom Final

Madison Hoffman, Phoebe Heaydon

Feb 19

21:30

Men’s Aerials Final

Reilly Flanagan

Feb 21

05:30

Men’s Halfpipe Final

Scotty James, Valentino Guseli

🏅🔥

23:30

SkiMo Mixed Relay

Phil Bellingham & Lara Hamilton

Feb 22

05:30

Women’s Freeski Halfpipe Final

Indra Brown

🏅

07:05

Two-Woman Bobsleigh Final

Walker/Reddingius & Blizzard/Johnson

Feb 23

00:10

Men’s Ice Hockey Final

NHL Superstars

🔥

06:00

Closing Ceremony

Live from Milano

🔥

‍

Opening Ceremony + first medals - Saturday, February 7

Opening Ceremony at breakfast time, then the first gold medal awarded in primetime on Saturday. 

Harry Laidlaw represents Australia in the Men's Downhill, the Games' first Gold medal event, while cross-country skiers Rosie Fordham and Phoebe Cridland compete late Saturday night. 

This same-day pairing of ceremony and first medals creates maximum media saturation, with a full weekend news cycle processing before Monday's ASX open.

Key events

• Opening Ceremony: 6:00 am AEDT
• Men's Downhill Final (first gold medal of the games): 9:30 pm AEDT
• Women's 10km + 10km Skiathlon: 11:00 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC (Nine Entertainment): Double viewership event. Opening Ceremony 6:00 am Saturday, lines up for the peak morning TV audience. First medals at 9:30 pm are a primetime Saturday night. 
• Italian equities (FTSE MIB): Historically underperform during domestic Olympics. Turin 2006 saw -2.1% during the Games.
• STLA (Stellantis): ESG headline risk if environmental groups target the ceremony.
• Apparel sponsor arbitrage: If a non-favourite wins Men's Downhill, their sponsor sees average +2.3% pop (PyeongChang 2018, Beijing 2022 data).

‍

First medals continue - Sunday, February 8

The medal rush continues on Sunday as 19-year-old Valentino Guseli takes flight in Men's Snowboard Big Air, offering Australia an early podium chance in one of the Games' most visually spectacular events. 

With the ceremony glow still fresh, Guseli's performance sets the tone for Australia's snowboard campaign and could influence Monday's ASX open positioning for action sports stocks.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Big Air Final (Valentino Guseli): 5:30 am AEDT
• Women's Normal Hill Individual Final: 5:57 am AEDT

For traders

• MNST (Monster Beverage): Action sports sponsor, benefits from multi-athlete Olympic presence.
• FL (Foot Locker), ZUMZ (Zumiez): Youth retail action sports exposure. Guseli gold could create a temporary buzz.

‍

Monday, February 9

A rare quiet day in Australia's Olympic calendar. No Australian medal events are scheduled, making this a pure observation day for traders. 

Monitor how Guseli's weekend result is processed through Monday's ASX open, and position ahead of Tuesday's Coady showdown.

Tuesday, February 10

Tess Coady attempts to upgrade her 2022 bronze to gold in Women's Snowboard Big Air. The Tuesday morning timing offers traders a potential pre-market positioning window, though Coady's modest mainstream profile limits exposure compared to the moguls stars on the following day.

Key events

• Women's Snowboard Big Air Final: 5:30 am AEDT

For traders

• FL (Foot Locker), ZUMZ (Zumiez): Youth retail. Coady gold could create a temporary buzz.
• MNST (Monster Beverage): Less volatile, general action sports sponsor.

‍

Wednesday, February 11

The calm before Jakara Anthony. No Australian events on Wednesday means traders spend the day positioning for the biggest moment of the Games: Anthony's moguls final just past midnight.

‍

Moguls Finals - Thursday, February 12

The biggest moment of the Games for Australia arrives just after midnight on Wednesday with Jakara Anthony defending her Olympic crown in the Women's Moguls Final. 

As the nation's brightest gold medal hope with 26 World Cup victories, Anthony's 12:15 am performance is the single highest-impact potential event for NEC and VFC stocks across the entire Olympic fortnight.

Matt Graham also chases his first Olympic gold at 10:15 pm Thursday night. Both events carry high NEC and VFC volatility potential.

Key events

• Women's Moguls Final (Jakara Anthony): 12:15 am AEDT
• Men's Moguls Final (Matt Graham): 10:15 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC (Nine Entertainment): Monitor overnight results and viewership for Thursday open direction.
• VFC (VF Corp/North Face): Sponsors both athletes. A double medal could bring a larger impact.
• Defending champion volatility: An Anthony loss could create higher emotional swings.
• Social sentiment: Track Twitter/Google Trends Thursday morning to gauge the magnitude of Anthony’s performance.

‍

Friday, February 13

Snowboard cross takes centre stage with two Australian medal chances bookending Friday's trading day. 

Adam Lambert's overnight final sets the morning open, while Josie Baff's evening showdown takes the Aus prime time slot.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Cross Finals: 12:56 am AEDT
• Women's Snowboard Cross Finals: 7:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC sentiment gauge: If Lambert medals Fri morning and Graham medaled Thu night, it could create positive momentum.

‍

Jakara Anthony competes - Saturday, February 14

Jakara Anthony goes for the double in Saturday night's Women's Dual Moguls Final.

If she claims gold Thursday and again here, the "double gold Jakara" narrative writes itself, offering geometric rather than linear media value. 

Key events

• Women's Dual Moguls Final (Jakara Anthony): 9:46 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC narrative power: "Double gold Jakara" could draw in more casual viewers.
• If Anthony silver/bronze Thu: Redemption story potential.
• Weekend timing: Saturday night result = Monday ASX gap.
• Format risk: Monitor qualifying rounds; if margins are greater than 1 second (blowouts), engagement could drop.

‍

Sunday, February 15 

A quiet Sunday offers redemption arcs and low-impact action. Brendan Corey's morning short track effort carries minimal stock relevance, while Matt Graham's late-night dual moguls final provides a second medal chance after Friday's traditional event.

Key events

• Short Track Speed Skating 1500m Final: 8:42 am AEDT
• Men's Dual Moguls Final: 9:46 pm AEDT

For traders

• VFC second opportunity: If Graham misses on Friday’s moguls, dual moguls redemption is possible.

‍

Monday, February 16

Harry Laidlaw returns to the slopes for late Monday night slalom action, but alpine skiing holds minimal sway over Australian audiences. 

This is a placeholder day in the trading calendar, with markets more focused on digesting the weekend moguls results and positioning for Tuesday's monobob final.

Key events

• Men's Slalom: 11:00 pm AEDT

‍

Bree Walker competes - Tuesday, February 17

Bree Walker could make Olympic history as she competes in the Women's Monobob Final, chasing Australia's first-ever bobsleigh medal. 

While the narrative is powerful, the commercial reality is that bobsleigh has no retail sponsor footprint, limiting direct stock plays.

Key events

• Pairs Figure Skating Final: 6:00 am AEDT
• Women's Monobob Final: 7:06 am AEDT

For traders

• NEC: Bobsleigh historically gets low ratings, but a Walker gold could provide value as an Australian-first.

‍

Wednesday, February 18

Veterans Laura Peel and Danielle Scott take centre stage on Wednesday night in an event with proud Australian history (2 golds since 2002). However, aerials' niche appeal and late-night timing may limit market impact.

Key events

• Women's Aerials Final: 9:30 pm AEDT
• Women's Slalom Final: 11:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC: If either medals, potential for a small sentiment boost.
• VFC exposure: Limited potential as aerials athletes are less commercially developed.

‍

Thursday, February 19

Thursday night aerials effort is a low-impact finale event with minimal medal expectation for Australian Reilly Flanagan, and even less market relevance. 

Scotty James' Saturday halfpipe showdown is the real conversation as the games begin winding down, although a medal run from Flanagan could create an underdog narrative.

Key events

• Men's Aerials Final: 9:30 pm AEDT

‍

Friday, February 20 

The final calm before Scotty James' legacy-defining Saturday. Set up day for James' 5:30 am Saturday halfpipe final, the Games' last major potential volatility event for an Aussie athlete.

‍

Scotty James competes - Saturday, February 21

Scotty James' legacy moment arrives Saturday morning. He’s represented Australia at five Olympics, with two medals and zero golds. This is his final chance and brings with it the Games' most emotionally charged event, and the last major trading catalyst before Monday's Closing Ceremony.

Key events

• Men's Snowboard Halfpipe Final (Scotty James): 5:30 am AEDT
• SkiMo Mixed Relay: 11:30 pm AEDT

For traders

• NEC: Potential weekend delays on price discovery. If James gold Saturday.
• NKE (Nike): Potential halo effect from gold via action sports lift.
• Guseli wildcard: Valentino is also competing (his second event after Big Air, Feb 8). A dual medal could create narrative amplification.

‍

Sunday, February 22

Sixteen-year-old Indra Brown takes the Sunday morning spotlight in Women's Freeski Halfpipe, facing off against favourite Eileen Gu (CHN) in what could become a Gen-Z brand inflection point.

Key events

• Women's Freeski Halfpipe Final (Indra Brown): 5:30 am AEDT
• Two-Woman Bobsleigh Final: 7:05 am

For traders

• Mon-Tue watch: Monitor which brands announce Brown signings.
• MILN (Global X Millennials ETF): Action sports retailers, social platforms exposure for Gen Z.

‍

Closing Ceremony - Monday, February 23

The curtain falls on Milano Cortina 2026 with Monday morning's Closing Ceremony, and history says this is where euphoria dies. 

• Men's Ice Hockey Final (NHL Superstars): 12:10 am AEDT
• Closing Ceremony: 6:00 am AEDT

Markets to watch:

• French Alps 2030 rotation: Closing features handover to France.
• Australian medal count: If greater than 4 medals (Beijing total), the government may increase 2030 winter sports funding.
• Ice Hockey Final: NHL players compete for the first time since 2014. Major US/Canada viewership means a potential CMCSA boost.

全球市场将迎来许多潜在的高冲击催化剂，进入新的一周。日本大选首先在周日举行，其次是美国的通货膨胀和劳动力市场数据，这些数据继续影响着利率预期。

‍

• 日本大选： 政策连续性和政治稳定被普遍视为对区域市场的支持。
• 美国通货膨胀和劳动力市场： 消费者价格指数（CPI）和就业状况报告（非农就业人数，NFP）是本周的直接宏观焦点。
• 比特币风险指标： 比特币回到了2024年底的最后一次水平，并且仍远低于2025年10月的峰值。
• 行业旋转观察： 科技行业最近表现不佳，而价值和防御板块则趋于稳定，财报季继续影响资金流量。

‍

日本大选

日本的大选主要是从政策确定性的角度来看待的。市场通常倾向于财政和货币环境的明确结果和连续性。

意想不到的结果或联盟的不确定性可能会增加本周初日元和区域指数的短期波动。

关键日期

• 大选（日本）： 2月8日，星期日
• 周一亚洲交易的业绩

市场影响

• 日元可能对结果、不确定性或政策方向的潜在变化敏感
• 在业绩明确之前，亚洲股市可能会在周初出现波动

‍

美国通货膨胀和劳动力市场

通货膨胀仍然是利率预期的最直接投入，而NFP月度报告则对就业条件和工资压力进行了广泛的解读。

美国国债收益率和美元通常会对这些数据做出快速反应，对股票、黄金和成长型资产产生连锁反应。

目前的定价表明，在4月会议之前，市场认为降息的可能性不到30％，而6月的会议加息概率超过50％。

关键日期

• 就业情况: 2月11日星期三 08:30（美国东部时间）| 2月12日星期四 00:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 消费者价格指数（2026年1月）: 2月13日星期五 08:30（美国东部时间）2月14日星期六 00:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）

市场影响

• 收益率通常首先变动，其次是美元，然后是风险资产
• 对降息时机的预期可能会迅速调整
• 增长和科技股对利率仍然更加敏感

‍

‍

比特币

比特币已跌至2024年11月美国大选前的最后一次水平，比2025年10月的峰值低了近50％。

虽然不是传统的宏观指标，但可以将加密市场视为投资者风险承受能力的实时读数。持续疲软可能与对包括科技股在内的贝塔值较高的资产采取更加谨慎的立场相吻合。

市场影响

• 加密情绪疲软可能与投机流减少相吻合
• 风险偏好可能仍更具选择性
  
  

‍

行业轮换

在过去的一周中，道琼斯工业平均指数跑赢大盘，交易价格略低于中性，而纳斯达克100指数下跌了4％以上，这反映了大盘股对收益率走强的敏感性。

此举可能反映出什么

• 利率驱动的增长股承受压力
• 科技表现强劲后的获利回吐
• 财报季有利于更广泛的行业参与
• 对于贝塔值较高的资产，总体上采取更为谨慎的态度

在将这种转变描述为结构性轮动之前，市场通常会寻找金融、工业或国防板块持续多周的跑赢大盘。

市场影响

• 科技股对收益率变动仍然更加敏感
• 价值板块和防御板块可能会获得相对支撑
• 收益指引继续影响领导力

2月份的外汇格局可能受通胀持续性、劳动力弹性和央行通信的推动。随着美国、欧洲、日本和澳大利亚发布了几份具有高影响力的数据，短期走势可能更多地以事件驱动和重定价为主导，而不是以趋势为导向。

事实速览

• 美元仍然是关键参考点，美国数据推动了收益率和整个外汇市场的重新定价。
• 欧元对欧洲央行（ECB）的消息以及传入的通货膨胀和活动信号的敏感度仍然很高。
• 日元仍然与国内数据和日本银行（BOJ）的沟通密切相关，美元/日元经常对收益率预期的变化做出强烈反应。
• 澳元仍然对政策敏感，国内通货膨胀和劳动力数据以及全球风险基调和金属可能最为重要。

美元 (USD)

关键事件

• 非农就业人数（NFP）和失业率： 美国东部时间 2 月 11 日上午 8:30 | 2 月 12 日上午 12:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 消费者价格指数（CPI），总体和核心： 2月13日上午 8:30（美国东部时间）| 2月13日 12:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 个人收入和支出（包括个人消费支出价格指数）： 2月20日，8:30（美国东部时间）| 2月21日 12:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）

要看什么

美元可能仍将主要受通货膨胀和劳动力数据的变化及其对美联储利率预期的影响所驱动。最近的头条新闻 美联储的独立性 也增加了美元头寸的波动性。

更强的通货膨胀或劳动力弹性通常与通过更高的收益率预期获得更坚定的美元支撑有关。较软的结果可能会减少利率支撑，并允许欧元/美元和澳元/美元等货币对稳定。

关键图表：美元指数（DXY）周线图

‍

欧元（欧元）

关键事件

• 欧洲央行的政策决定： 2 月 6 日上午 12:15（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 欧洲央行新闻发布会： 2 月 6 日上午 12:45（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 欧洲央行对国内生产总值和就业的初步估计： 2 月 13 日晚上 8:00（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）

要看什么

欧元的走势仍然与欧洲央行能否在活动出现实质性恶化的情况下维持其立场，或者通货膨胀和增长数据是否拉动宽松预期有关。

弹性增长和稳健的通货膨胀可以支持 “长期向上走高” 的定价偏见。增长疲软或通货膨胀疲软可能会打压该货币，特别是如果它们带来宽松预期。

关键图表：欧元/美元周线图

‍

日元 (JPY)

关键事件

• 日本初步国内生产总值（2025年第四季度，首次初步数据）： 2月15日下午 6:50（美国东部时间）| 2月16日上午10点50分（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 全国消费者价格指数（日本）： 2 月 20 日（日本）

要看什么

日元对国内收益率变化和日本央行的沟通仍然很敏感。即使对政策预期进行适度的调整也可能导致美元/日元的大幅波动。

稳健的增长或通胀结果可以通过提高国内收益率和改变日本央行预期来支撑日元。疲软的业绩或谨慎的政策信息可能会使美元/日元保持支撑。

关键图表：美元/日元日线图

‍

澳元 (AUD)

关键事件

• 澳洲联储会议纪要： 2 月 17 日上午 11:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 工资价格指数： 2 月 18 日上午 11:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 劳动力调查： 2 月 19 日上午 11:30（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）
• 消费者价格指数（CPI）： 2月25日上午11点30分（澳大利亚东部夏令时间）

要看什么

澳元对政策仍然敏感，对国内通货膨胀和劳动力数据以及全球风险情绪及其对金属定价的影响做出快速反应。

持续的工资或通货膨胀压力可以通过更坚定的政策预期来支撑澳元。数据疲软可能会减少利率支撑并打压澳元的表现，尤其是兑美元和日元的表现。

关键图表：欧元/澳元日线图