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Expected earnings date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026 (US, after market close) / early Thursday, 29 January 2026 (AEDT)
Key areas in focus
Intelligent Cloud (Azure)
Azure remains Microsoft’s primary earnings swing factor. Markets are watching to see whether any growth reflects demand strength or capacity constraints, and how AI-related workloads are impacting margins.
Productivity and Business Processes
Microsoft 365, Office, and LinkedIn are sources of recurring revenue for Microsoft. Growth, pricing discipline, and client churn remain the key variables that markets will be watching.
Personal Computing
Windows, devices, and gaming are more cyclical. Stabilisation of PC demand and gaming engagement remain secondary sources of revenue but are still noteworthy.
Artificial intelligence
Approaches around the monetisation of Microsoft’s AI play are still developing. Trends in enrolment and infrastructure cost are expected to be key factors.
What happened last quarter
Microsoft reported results ahead of consensus, supported by steady cloud demand and resilient enterprise software revenues.
Azure and other cloud services' growth remained a central focus, alongside commentary on AI-related investment and capacity.
Last earnings key highlights:
- Revenue: US$77.7 billion
- Earnings per share (EPS): US$3.72 (GAAP) and US$4.13 (non-GAAP adjusted)
- Intelligent Cloud revenue: US$30.9 billion
- Azure and other cloud services: up 40% year on year
- Operating income: US$38.0 billion
How the market reacted last time
Microsoft shares fell in after-hours trading following the release, despite the beating of headline numbers, as investors focused on AI investment intensity, capacity constraints and related implications for future margins.
What’s expected this quarter
Bloomberg consensus points to continued revenue growth led by cloud services, alongside broadly stable margins despite elevated capex.
Bloomberg consensus reference points (January 2026):
- Revenue: about US$68 to US$69 billion
- EPS: about US$3.10 to US$3.20 (adjusted)
- Azure growth: mid-to-high 20% year on year (YoY) (constant currency)
- Operating margin: expected to remain broadly stable
- Capex: expected to remain elevated, reflecting AI and cloud build-out
*All above points observed as of 16 January 2026.
Expectations
Sentiment appears cautious. Microsoft can remain sensitive to any cloud, margin, or guidance disappointment, particularly where investors interpret investment intensity as open-ended.
Price action traded within an established range of US$472 and US$490 recently, but has moved below this in the last week.
Listed options were pricing an indicative move of around ±2% based on near-dated options expiring after 28 January and an at-the-money options-implied ‘expected move’ estimate.
Implied volatility was about 33.5% annualised into the event as observed on Barchart at 11:00 AEDT on 16th January 2026.
These are market-implied estimates and may change; actual post-earnings moves can be larger or smaller.
What this means for Australian traders
Microsoft’s earnings may influence near-term sentiment across US technology indices, particularly the Nasdaq, with potential spillover into global equity risk appetite and, in turn, the ASX.
As a major technology stock, and with Tesla (TSLA) also scheduled to report after the US close on the same day, volatility in Nasdaq-linked products may increase while futures markets remain open.
Important risk note
Immediately after the US close and into the early Asia session, Nasdaq 100 (NDX) futures and related CFD pricing can reflect thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and sharper repricing around new information.
Such an environment can increase gap risk and execution uncertainty relative to regular-hours conditions.

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PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) reported its Q2 earnings results before the opening bell on Wall Street on Tuesday. The US beverage and food company reported revenue of $20.225 billion for the quarter vs. analyst forecast of $19.513 billion. Earnings per share also reported above analyst expectations at $1.86 per share vs. $1.74 per share estimate. ''We are pleased with our results for the second quarter as our business momentum continued despite ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility and higher levels of inflation across our markets,'' Chairman and CEO Ramon Laguarta commented on the latest results following the announcement. ''Our results are indicative of our highly dedicated employees, the strength and resilience of our categories, agile supply chain and go-to-market systems and strong marketplace execution.
Our performance also gives us confidence that our investments to become an even Faster, even Stronger, and even Better organization by winning with pep+ are working. Given our year-to-date performance, we now expect our full-year organic revenue to increase 10 percent (previously 8 percent) and we continue to expect core constant currency earnings per share to increase 8 percent,'' Laguarta concluded. PepsiCo (PEP) chart The latest results did not have a huge impact on the shares price, the stock was down by 0.57% at $169.34 per share on Tuesday.
Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month +9.71% 3 Month -1.17% Year-to-date -1.40% 1 Year +11.98% PepsiCo price targets Deutsche Bank $178 Barclays $183 JP Morgan $185 UBS $182 Wells Fargo $172 Credit Suisse $168 Morgan Stanley $198 PepsiCo Inc. is the 36 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $236.89 billion. You can trade PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: PepsiCo Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) reported its latest financial after the closing bell in the US on Monday. The company beat both revenue and earnings per share estimates, sending the stock price higher. The US software and hardware manufacturer reported revenue of $11.84 billion for the quarter (up by 5% year-over-year and up 10% in constant currency) vs. $11.61 billion expected.
Earnings per share reported at $1.54 per share vs. $1.37 per share estimate. ''We continued to improve our top line results again this quarter with total revenue growing 10% in constant currency,'' Oracle CEO, Safra Catz commented on the latest results after the announcement. ''These consistent increases in our quarterly revenue growth rate typically have been driven by our market leading Fusion and NetSuite cloud applications. But this Q4, we also experienced a major increase in demand in our infrastructure cloud business—which grew 39% in constant currency. We believe that this revenue growth spike indicates that our infrastructure business has now entered a hyper-growth phase.
Couple a high growth rate in our cloud infrastructure business with the newly acquired Cerner applications business—and Oracle finds itself in position to deliver stellar revenue growth over the next several quarters,'' Catz concluded. Oracle Corporation (ORCL) chart Share price of Oracle was up by over 10% on Tuesday after the latest earnings beat, trading at $70.71 per share. Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month -1.61% 3 Month -12.26% Year-to-date -18.91% 1 Year -13.38% Oracle price targets Jefferies $80 JP Morgan $82 BMO Capital $86 Stifel $72 Cowen & Co. $98 Morgan Stanley $88 Oracle Corporation is the 45 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $197.79 billion.
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US indices retraced overnight as the market took a step back to assess the recent rally. The Nasdaq finished down 1.32%, the Dow Jones Index was down 1.29% and the S&P 500 was 1.23% in the red. Despite the selling, the session was still a far cry from recent sell-offs.
In Europe, the DAX slumped 1.31% after showing some strength early in the day. The FTSE continues to be the stronger of the indices due to its geographical protection against the Russian/Ukraine conflict and the rising oil and other commodity prices. CPI figures in the UK announced earlier in the day were slightly higher than expected at 6.2% vs an expected rate at 6%.
However, the UK has already enacted steps to combat inflation ahead of many other countries. Commodities Oil prices spiked again, as disruptions to Russian and Kazakh crude exports will reduce exports by up to 1 million barrels a day or 1% of global production due to storm damage. This caused oil shorts to squeeze as Brent Crude to pump 6.04% to 121.40 USD.
Gold continues to build a base as it closed the night up 1.21% to 1,944.03 USD per ounce. Natural Gas made early gains but was not able to hold its highs as it sold off from the supply zone at 5.3 USD. Natural gas is still holding the 5.10 USD support level as it ended the day o.41% down.
Cryptocurrency Bitcoin had a choppy day as it remained range-bound for the session as the BTC/USD closed up 0.22% overall. Ethereum again continues to outperform BTC and rose by 1.44% as it gets closer to breaking out of the $3050 level. ETH/USD ended the day at $3016.
FOREX The AUD/USD touched $0.75 overnight but has not yet been able to push through the area of resistance. The pair is one to keep an eye on as movement in either direction may provide an opportunity for the market to pounce. The USD/JPY also continues to go up in an almost vertical direction.
The pair finished up 0.32% for the session. The GBP/USD finished 0.44% lower on the back of the UK inflation figures, with the pair trading at 1.3200 USD.


The OPEC group has announced plans to increase production of Crude oil to reduce the panic and ease the supply crunch. However, some analysts believe that the amount will be insufficient reduce the price. The organisation agreed to increase production to 648,000 barrels from 400,000 per day beginning in August.
Brent crude and WTI dropped in price in response, although they did settle as the day progressed. Background The price of oil initially spiked in response to the Russian and Ukraine crisis as sanctions were placed on Russia and supply chains began to come under stress. This caused a supply shock, and prices began to rocket up.
The added pressure of record high inflation has only accelerated the prices higher. Despite the increase in production, the emerging countries who produce oil are already struggling to keep up with their production targets. For instance, Nigeria, Venezuela, and Libya are struggling to produce their required amount for various reasons and have been set over ambitious targets.
This leaves the USA and Saudi Arabia are left to pick up the slack. Geopolitical Problems Political forces are also at play whenever oil is mentioned. Russia has such a powerful role in the production.
Restrictive economic sanctions placed on them since the crisis began has only added to uncertainty and volatility. Analysts believe that reducing the Russian influence on OPEC may reduce the volatility of oil prices, however this strategy will ultimately fail if Russia produces less oil and not more. Isolating Russia and placing more sanctions on them may prove counterproductive to dealing with oil supply.
Initial price action The price of oil dropped on the news with both WTI and Brent Crude oil dropping significantly. WTI dropped by 3.44% whilst Brent dropped 2.93%. Both prices remain volatile and in pattern of medium-term consolidation.
The price remains at the mercy of inflation rates and geopolitical influences.


Nike Inc. (NKE) reported its latest financial results for its fiscal 2022 fourth quarter after the closing bell in the US on Monday. World’s largest sporting goods company topped both revenue and earnings per share estimates. The company reported revenue of $12.234 billion for the quarter vs. $12.061 billion expected.
Earnings per share reported at $0.90 per share vs. estimate of $0.80 per share. ''NIKE’s results this fiscal year are a testament to the unmatched strength of our brands and our deep connection with consumers," John Donahoe, President and CEO of Nike said in a press release after the results. ''Our competitive advantages, including our pipeline of innovative product and expanding digital leadership, prove that our strategy is working as we create value through our relentless drive to serve the future of sport," Donahoe added. Nike Inc. (NKE) chart Shares of Nike were down by around 2.13% at the end of trading day on Monday at $110.42 per share. Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month -4.73% 3 Month -18.03% Year-to-date -33.70% 1 Year -27.47% Nike price targets Cowen & Co. $133 Deutsche Bank $152 Credit Suisse $130 Citigroup $123 Baird $150 UBS $168 Morgan Stanley $159 HSBC $132 Wells Fargo $150 Nike Inc. is the 61 st largest company in the world with a market cap of $173.90 billion.
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