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Markets are navigating a familiar mix of macro and event risk with China growth signals, US inflation updates, central-bank guidance and earnings that will help confirm whether the growth narrative is broadening or narrowing.
At a glance
- China: Q4 GDP + December activity + PBOC decision
- US: PCE inflation (date per current BEA schedule)
- Japan: BOJ decision (JPY/carry sensitivity)
- Earnings: tech, industrials, energy, materials in focus
- Gold: near record highs (yields/USD/geopolitics watch)
Geopolitics remain fluid. Any escalation could shift risk sentiment quickly and produce price action that diverges from current baselines.
China
- China Q4 GDP: Monday, 19 January at 1:00 pm (AEDT)
- Retail sales: Monday, 19 January at 1:00 pm (AEDT)
- PBOC policy decision: Monday, 19 January at 12.30 pm (AEDT)
China’s Q4 GDP and December activity data, together with the PBOC decision, will shape expectations for China's growth momentum and the durability of policy support.
Market impact
- Commodity-linked FX: AUD and NZD may react if growth expectations or the policy tone shifts.
- Equities: The Shanghai Composite, Hang Seng and ASX 200 could respond to any change in how investors view demand and stimulus traction.
- Commodities: Industrial metals and oil may move on any reassessment of China-linked demand.
US
- PCE Inflation: Friday, 23 January at 2:00 am (AEDT)
- PSI: Friday, 23 January at 2:00 am (AEDT)
- S&P Flash (PMI): Saturday, 24 January at 1:45 am (AEDT)
- Netflix: Tuesday, 20 January 2026 at 8:00 am (AEDT)
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and a key input for rate expectations and (by extension) Treasury yields, the USD, and growth stocks. Markets are likely to focus on whether the reading changes the inflation path that is currently priced, rather than simply matching consensus.
Market impact
- USD: May move if rate expectations shift, particularly against JPY and EUR.
- US equities: Growth and small caps, including the Nasdaq and Russell 2000, may be sensitive if the data or interpretation challenge the current rate outlook.
- Gold futures: May be influenced indirectly via moves in Treasury yields and the USD.
Japan
Key reports
- Inflation: Friday, 23 January at 10:30 am (AEDT)
- Bank of Japan (BoJ) Interest Rate Meeting: Friday, 23 January at ~2:00 pm (AEDT)
Markets will focus on what the BOJ signals about inflation, wages and the policy path. A shift in tone can move JPY quickly and flow through to broader risk via carry positioning.
Market impact:
- JPY/USD pairs and crosses: Pairs are sensitive to any guidance change and the USD/JPY has broken above 158, but the move could reverse if the BOJ strikes a more hawkish tone.
- Japan equities and global sentiment: Could react if the dynamics shift.
- Broader risk assets: May be influenced via moves in the USD and volatility conditions.
US earnings
- Netflix: Tuesday, 20 January 2026 at 8:00 am (AEDT)
- Johnson & Johnson: Wednesday, 21 January at 10:20 pm (AEDT)
- Intel Corporation: Thursday, 22 January at 8:00 am (AEDT)
A busy week of US earnings is expected with large-cap names across multiple sectors reporting. Early results and, importantly, forward guidance may help clarify whether growth is broadening or becoming more selective.
With the S&P 500 close to the psychological 7,000 level, earnings could be a catalyst for a fresh test of highs or a pullback if guidance disappoints.
Market impact
- Upside scenario: Results that exceed expectations and are supported by steady guidance could support sector and broader market sentiment.
- Downside scenario: Cautious guidance, particularly on margins and capex, could weigh on individual names and spill into broader indices if it becomes a repeated message.
- Read-through: Early reporters in each sector may influence expectations for related stocks, especially where peers have not yet provided updated guidance.
- Bottom line: This is a week where the market may trade the forward picture more than the rear-view numbers. The key is whether guidance supports the idea of broad, durable growth, or whether it points to a more selective backdrop as 2026 unfolds.
Gold
Continued strength in gold may support gold equities and gold-linked ETFs relative to the broader market but geopolitical developments and policy uncertainty may influence demand for defensive assets.
A sustained reversal in gold could be interpreted by some market participants as a sign of improved risk confidence. The driver set matters, especially whether the move is led by yields, USD strength, or a fade in event risk.


Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) wasn’t the only company releasing the latest earnings report on Thursday. World’s second largest supermarket chain Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) also announced their results after the closing bell on Wall Street. Costco reported revenue of $57.33 billion vs. $59.111 billion expected.
Revenue rose by 5.7% year-over-year. Earnings per share (EPS) was reported at $3.92, which was above Wall Street estimate of $3.64 per share. EPS increased by 18.78% vs. the same period the year prior.
Company overview Founded: September 15, 1983 Headquarters: Issaquah, Washington, United States Number of employees: 316,000 (2023) Industry: Retail Key people: Hamilton E. James (Chairman), W. Craig Jelinek (President and CEO) Stock reaction Broadcome was up by 1.60% before the earnings call, trading at $785.59 a share.
Shares rose to a new all-time high of $787.08 during the session. The stock was down by around 4% post market after the latest results were announced. Stock performance 5 day: +4.99% 1 month: +7.85% 3 months: +27.83% Year-to-date: +18.32% 1 year: +62.87% Costco stock price targets Oppenheimer: $805 Telsey Advisory Group: $785 Wells Fargo & Company: $675 The Goldman Sachs Group: $749 Loop Capital: $755 Tigress Financial: $745 Northcoast Research: $620 Raymond James: $670 UBS Group: $725 BMO Capital Markets: $700 DA Davidson: $600 Stifel Nicolaus: $675 Citigroup: $630 Evercore ISI: $650 JP Morgan Chase & Co.: $605 Costco Wholesale Corporation is the 26 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $346.60 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap.
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Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) announced its latest financial results after the US market closed on Thursday. The US tech giant achieved revenue of $11.961 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024 (up by 34% year-over-year) vs. $11.759 billion estimate. Earnings per share was reported at $10.99 (up by 6.38% year-over-year) vs. $10.368 per share expected.
The company announced a quarterly dividend of $5.25 a share. Company overview Founded: 1961 Headquarters: San Jose, California, United States Number of employees: 20,000 (2023) Industry: Semiconductor, computer software Key people: Henry Samueli (Chairman), Hock Tan (President and CEO) CEO commentary Hock Tan, CEO of Broadcom had this to say in a letter to investors: "We are pleased to have two strong drivers of revenue growth for Broadcom in the first quarter and fiscal year 2024. First, our acquisition of VMware is accelerating revenue growth in our infrastructure software segment, as customers deploy VMware Cloud Foundation.
Second, strong demand for our networking products in AI data centers, as well as custom AI accelerators from hyperscalers, are driving growth in our semiconductor segment." "We reiterate our fiscal year 2024 guidance for consolidated revenue of $50 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $30 billion," Tan looked at the year ahead. Stock reaction Shares ended Thursday’s session up by 4.22% before the results were announced, trading at $1,407.01 a share. The stock dipped by around 3% in the after-hours trading.
Stock performance 5 day: +7.19% 1 month: +9.35% 3 months: +51.15% Year-to-date: +24.88% 1 year: +123.92% Broadcom stock price targets Mizuho: $1,550 Rosenblatt Securities: $1,500 Cantor Fitzergald: $1,600 Oppenheimer: $1,500 Susquehanna: $1,550 UBS Group: $1,480 The Goldman Sachs Group: $1,325 Citigroup: $1,100 TD Cowen: $1,000 Truist Financial: $1,015 KeyCorp: $1,200 Evercore ISI: $1,050 Robert W. Baird: $1,000 Deutsche Bank: $950 Wells Fargo & Company: $900 Broadcom Inc. is the 11 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $646.85 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap. You can trade Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform.
To find out more, go to "Trading" then select"Share CFDs". GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Why trade during extended hours?
Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Broadcom Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap

AutoZone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) announced Q2 fiscal 2024 results before the US opening bell on Tuesday. The largest US retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories achieved revenue of $3.859 billion in the quarter, which topped analyst estimate of $3.846 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) reached $28.89 vs. $26.296 per share expected.
Both revenue and EPS increased by 4.6% and 17.2% year-over-year respectively. AutoZone opened 29 new stores in the United States (19), Mexico (6) and Brazil (4) during the quarter. 3 stores were closed in the United States. The company has 7,191 stores in the Unites States (6,332), Mexico (751) and Brazil (108) as of 10/2/24.
Company overview Founded: 1979 Headquarters: Memphis, Tennessee, United States Number of employees: 119,000 (2023) Industry: Retail Key people: William C. Rhodes III (Chairman, President, & CEO), Jamere Jackson (CFO) CEO commentary "I want to thank our AutoZoners for delivering solid earnings in our second fiscal quarter. Their commitment to delivering superior customer service again drove our very solid quarterly performance.
While a difficult holiday comparison for both Christmas and New Year’s negatively impacted quarterly sales performance, we continue to be encouraged with our sales initiatives, and believe we are well positioned for future growth. Additionally, we are pleased with our international business as we delivered another quarter of double-digit growth. We remain committed to prudently investing capital in our business, and we will be steadfast in our long-term, disciplined approach to increasing operating earnings and cash flows while utilizing our balance sheet effectively," Phil Daniele, CEO of the US company said in a statement to shareholders.
Stock reaction Shares rose to a new all-time high following the release of the latest results. The stock was up by over 5% at $2,926.32 a share. Stock performance 5 day: +8.67% 1 month: +3.21% 3 months: +12.59% Year-to-date: +13.31% 1 year: +17.83% AutoZone stock price targets Wedbush: $2950 Barclays: $2779 Morgan Stanley: $2900 Raymond James: $3100 Stephens: $3070 Truist Financial: $3027 TD Cowen: $2975 Oppenheimer: $2600 Argus: $2920 JP Morgan Chase & Co.: $2975 Evercore ISI: $2750 DA Davidson: $2500 UBS Group: $2900 Bank of America: $2465 AutoZone Inc. is the 360 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $50.55 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap.
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Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: AutoZone Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap


FX markets enter the new week with market sentiment firmly risk-on with all-time highs seen in US and Japanese indexes after a blowout earnings report from AI darling Nvidia (NVDA) sent stocks surging. Ahead this week we have key inflation data out of the US, Australia and Japan along with a RBNZ rate decision which is certainly in play. The Charts to watch this week Gold – XAUUSD Despite the buoyant market sentiment gold gained last week as the USD chopped around without real direction.
XAUUSD finding good support at the 2020 USD an ounce level in the second half of the week. This will be a key level to watch coming into Thursdays PCE inflation data out of the US a cooler than expected reading could see the USD decline continue and likely to add to golds bullish recovery. USDJPY Japanese inflation data released Thursday is expected to show a sharp drop in January due to a high base last year this could impact the JPY even further, raising doubts around one of the Bank of Japan’s two conditions for policy normalisation and be bullish for USDJPY.
Though above 150 there is the specter of BoJ intervention such as we saw at these levels late in 2022. Currently 150 has become a support level for USDJPY, but upside in this pair seems capped with little upside momentum shown recently, FX traders no doubt cautious at these levels. AUDNZD Both AUD and NZD outperformed last week as market optimism and steps by Chinese authorities to support their stock market lifted both the Antipodean currencies.
NZD did outperform the Aussie though, with AUDNZD hitting new 9-month and 2024 lows. This week will be a big one for AUDNZD traders, with Aussie CPI expected to rise and a RBNZ rate decision where the bank is expected to hold rates both happening on Wednesday. The market is pricing in a 30% of a hike from the RBNZ, so whichever way they go expect some volatility in NZD crosses over this announcement.
Full Economic calendar of the week ahead at the following link: https://www.gomarkets.com/au/economic-calendar/


NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) recently briefly overtook Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) as the fourth largest company in the world after the share price rose to a new all-time high of $746.11 on 14/2/24. Since then, the share price has fallen by over 9%, pushing the company back to sixth place. On Wednesday, investors were awaiting the latest results from NVIDIA, which were released after the US market closed, and they did not disappoint.
The company achieved revenue, which topped Wall Street estimates at $22.1 billion vs. $20.395 billion expected. Revenue was up by whopping 265% from the same period last year. Earnings per share (EPS) was reported at $5.16 vs. $4.593 per share estimate.
EPS grew by 486.36% year-over-year. Full year revenue increased by 126% to $60.9 billion. Company overview Founded: 1993 Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, United States Number of employees: 26,196 (2023) Industry: Computer hardware, computer software, cloud computing, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, GPUs Graphics cards Consumer electronics Video games Key people: Jensen Huang (President and CEO) CEO commentary "Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point.
Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries and nations, " Jensen Huang, CEO of the US company said in a press release to shareholders. " Our Data Center platform is powered by increasingly diverse drivers — demand for data processing, training and inference from large cloud-service providers and GPU-specialized ones, as well as from enterprise software and consumer internet companies. Vertical industries — led by auto, financial services and healthcare — are now at a multibillion-dollar level," Huang concluded. Stock reaction Shares were down by 2.85% at the end of trading on Wednesday as investors were waiting for the latest earnings results.
The stock rose by over 5% in after-hours trading. One to watch at the open on Thursday. Stock performance 5 day: -8.99% 1 month: +9.60% 3 months: +38.05% Year-to-date: +35.80% 1 year: +224.05% NVIDIA stock price targets Rosenblatt: $1,100 Cantor Fitzgerald: $775 Piper Sandler Companies: $850 Loop Capital: $1,200 Wedbush: $800 Oppenheimer: $850 Wells Fargo & Company: $840 Susquehanna: $850 UBS Group: $850 Mizuho: $825 Morgan Stanley: $750 The Goldman Sachs Group: $800 Raymond James: $700 Tigress Financial: $790 KeyCorp: $740 DA Davidson: $410 NVIDIA Corporation is the 6 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $1.660 trillion, according to CompaniesMarketCap.
You can trade NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform. To find out more, go to "Trading" then select "Share CFDs". GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs.
Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: NVIDIA Corporation, TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap, Macrotrends


The much awaited NVDA Q4 earnings didn’t disappoint with the tech giant knocking it out of the park, handily beating analysts' expectations on the top and bottom lines. For the quarter, Nvidia reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.16 on revenue of $22.1 billion. Analysts were expecting EPS of $4.60 on revenue of $20.4 billion.
For context the same period last quarter Nvidia reported EPS of $0.88 on $6.1 billion, a huge jump which saw NVDA stock surge over 7% after hours, touching the all-time highs set earlier in February. Gold rallied for the fifth straight session despite hawkish leaning FOMC minutes which saw a dip in XAUUSD to test the 2020 support level before rebounding. AUD and NZD were modestly up against the USD, with NZD outperforming its Aussie peer, sending AUDNZD below 1.06 and testing the 2024 lows, this despite Aussie Q4 wage price data coming in hotter than expected, rising to 4.2% against an expected 4.1%.
Some pricing in of a RBNZ hike next week seemingly the driver of NZD strength in this cross.