Notícias de mercado & insights
Mantenha-se à frente dos mercados com insights de especialistas, notícias e análise técnica para orientar suas decisões de negociação.
Multi-Timeframe (MTF) analysis is not just about checking the trend on the daily before trading on the hourly; ideally, it involves examining and aligning context, structure, and timing so that every trade is placed with purpose.
When done correctly, MTF analysis can filter market noise, may help with timing of entry, and assist you in trading with the trending “tide,” not against it.
Why Multi-Timeframe Analysis Matters
Every setup exists within a larger market story, and that story may often define the probability of a successful trade outcome.
Single-timeframe trading leads to the trading equivalent of tunnel vision, where the series of candles in front of you dominate your thinking, even though the broader trend might be shifting.
The most common reason traders may struggle is a false confidence based on a belief they are applying MTF analysis, but in truth, it’s often an ad-hoc, glance, not a structured process.
When signals conflict, doubt creeps in, and traders hesitate, entering too late or exiting too early.
A systematic MTF process restores clarity, allowing you to execute with more conviction and consistency, potentially offering improved trading outcomes and providing some objective evidence as to how well your system is working.
Building Your Timeframe Hierarchy
Like many effective trading approaches, the foundation of a good MTF framework lies in simplicity. The more complex an approach, the less likely it is to be followed fully and the more likely it may impede a potential opportunity.
Three timeframes are usually enough to capture the full picture without cluttering up your chart’s technical picture with enough information to avoid potential contradiction in action.
Each timeframe tells a different part of the story — you want the whole book, not just a single chapter.
Scalpers might work on H1-M15-M5, while longer-term traders might prefer H4-H1-H15.
The key is consistency in approach to build a critical mass of trades that can provide evidence for evaluation.
When all three timeframes align, the probability of at least an initial move in your desired direction may increase.
An MTF breakout will attract traders whose preference for primary timeframe may be M15 AND hourly, AND 4-hourly, so increasing potential momentum in the move simply because more traders are looking at the same breakout than if it occurred on a single timeframe only.
Applying MTF Analysis
A robust system is built on clear, unambiguous statements within your trading plan.
Ideally, you should define what each timeframe contributes to your decision-making process:
- Trend confirmed
- Structure validated
- Entry trigger aligned
- Risk parameters clear
When you enter on a lower timeframe, you are gaining some conviction from the higher one. Use the lower timeframe for fine-tuning and risk control, but if the higher timeframe flips direction, your bias must flip too.
Your original trading idea can be questioned and a decision made accordingly as to whether it is a good decision to stay in the trade or, as a minimum action, trail a stop loss to lock in any gains made to date.
Putting MTF into Action
So, if the goal is to embed MTF logic into your trade decisions, some step-by-step guidance may be useful on how to make this happen
1. Define Your Timeframe Stack
Decide which three timeframes form your trading style-aligned approach.
The key here is that as a starting point, you must “plant your flag” in one set, stick to it and measure to see how well or otherwise it works.
Through doing this, you can refine based on evidence in the future.
One tip I have heard some traders suggest is that the middle timeframe should be at least two times your primary timeframe, and the slowest timeframe at least four times.
2. Build and Use a Checklist
Codify your MTF logic into a repeatable routine of questions to ask, particularly in the early stages of implementing this as you develop your new habit.
Your checklist might include:
- Is the higher-timeframe trend aligned?
- Is the structure supportive?
- Do I have a valid trigger?
- Is risk clearly defined?
This turns MTF from a concept into a practical set of steps that are clear and easy to action.
3. Consider Integrating MTF Into Open Trade Management
MTF isn’t just for entries; it can also be used as part of your exit decision-making.
If your higher timeframe begins showing early signs of reversal, that’s a prompt to exit altogether, scale out through a partial close or tighten stops.
By managing trades through the same multi-timeframe approach that you used to enter, you maintain logical consistency across the entire lifecycle of the trade.
Final Action
Start small. Choose one instrument, one timeframe set, and one strategy to apply it to.
Observe the clarity it adds to your decisions and outcomes. Once you see a positive impact, you have evidence that it may be worth rolling out across other trading strategies you use in your portfolio.
Final Thought
Multi-Timeframe Analysis is not a trading strategy on its own. It is a worthwhile consideration in ALL strategies.
It offers a wider lens through which you see the market’s true structure and potential strength of conviction.
Through aligning context, structure, and execution, you move from chasing an individual group of candles to trading with a more robust support for a decision.
British-American cruise line company, Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL), reported fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings results on Wednesday. Carnival reported revenue of $5.397 billion Q4 (a new quarterly record) vs. $5.295 billion expected. The company reported loss per share of -$0.07, which was less than -$0.126 loss per share expected.
Full year revenue reached $21.6 billion – a new all-time record high. Company overview Founded: 1972 (as Carnival Cruise Line, now a subsidiary), 1993 (as Carnival Corporation), 2003 (as Carnival Corporation & plc) Headquarters: Miami, Florida, United States (Operations: Doral, Florida) and Southampton, United Kingdom Number of employees: 150,000 (2022) Industry: Hospitality, tourism Key people: Josh Weinstein (CEO) CEO commentary "We ended the year on a high note with another record-breaking quarter that exceeded expectations and achieved positive full year adjusted net income. In fact, we consistently outperformed in all four quarters of the year, buoyed by a strengthening demand environment across all our brands," Josh Weinstein, CEO of the company commented on the solid results in a press release. "Thanks to a strong second half of 2023, we are already tracking ahead of our plan to achieve SEA Change, our three-year financial targets calling for the highest adjusted ROIC and adjusted EBITDA per ALBD in nearly two decades.
Based on our 2024 guidance, we expect to deliver another big step forward, positioning us more than halfway toward realizing all our 2026 SEA Change targets. With nearly two-thirds of 2024 on the books already, we are well positioned to obtain another year of record revenues and adjusted EBITDA," Weinstein added. Stock reaction The stock rose by over 5% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since 10/7/23 at $19.09 a share.
Stock performance 1 month: +32% 3 months: +32.18% Year-to-date: +136.97% 1 year: +142.39% Carnival stock price targets Citigroup: $23 Truist Financial: $15 UBS Group: $20 Morgan Stanley: $11 Barclays: $21 Argus: $21 JP Morgan: $18 Deutsche Bank: $15 Bank of America: $20 Wells Fargo: $9 Credit Suisse: $18 Carnival Corporation is the 743rd largest company in the world with a market cap of $25.02 billion. You can trade Carnival Corporation and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. GO Markets now offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs.
Trade the pre-market session: 4:00am to 9:30am, normal session, and after-market session: 4:00pm to 8:00pm, Eastern Standard Time. Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps.
Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Carnival Corporation, TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap
Irish-American professional services company, Accenture plc (NYSE: ACN), announced Q1 FY24 financial results before the opening bell in the US on Tuesday. The company reported revenue of $16.224 billion for the three months that ended on 30/11/23, which was narrowly above analyst estimate of $16.169 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) reached $3.27 per share vs. $3.144 per share expected.
Revenue and EPS for the quarter were up by 3% and 6.1% year-over-year, respectively. Company overview Founded: 1989 Headquarters: Dublin, Ireland Number of employees: 733,000 (2023) Industry: Professional services, information technology consulting Key people: Julie Sweet (Chair and CEO) CEO commentary 'I am pleased that we delivered on our commitments this quarter while strategically investing at scale for future growth. Our deep and trusted client relationships are again reflected in the 30 clients with quarterly bookings of more than $100 million.
And we continue to lead our industry in Gen AI – the great accelerator of reinvention – with over $450 million in new bookings. I am incredibly grateful to the 743,000 people of Accenture, who are steadfastly dedicated to helping our clients achieve their ambition to grow and thrive in the years ahead,' CEO of the Dublin based company, Julie Sweet, said in a letter to shareholders. Stock reaction The stock was pretty much flat on Tuesday after the latest results were announced.
Shares were down by 0.10%, trading at $341.52 a share. Stock performance 1 month: +3.33% 3 months: +7.54% Year-to-date: +27.88% 1 year: +30.30% Accenture stock price targets Wedbush: $360 Redburn Atlantic: $410 UBS Group: $333 Robert W. Baird: $322 TD Cowen: $300 Piper Sandler: $300 BMO Capital Markets: $350 Royal Bank of Canada: $340 Citigroup: $358 Morgan Stanley: $356 Barclays: $390 JP Morgan: $341 Accenture plc is the 47th largest company in the world with a market cap of $213.99 billion.
You can trade Accenture plc (NYSE: ACN) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. GO Markets now offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Trade the pre-market session: 4:00am to 9:30am, normal session, and after-market session: 4:00pm to 8:00pm, Eastern Standard Time.
Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Accenture plc, TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap
Equity markets enter the second last week of 2023 on a roll, with US equities rallying for seven straight weeks and seeing all time highs in the Dow. The risk on rally was turbo charged last week after a dovish pivot from the US Fed in the December meeting saw yields and the Dollar tank and everything else bid heavily with rallies in Gold, Oil, equities, and other currencies. Looking ahead to this week, we do have a quieter calendar but there a are couple of key figures due for traders to keep an eye on, including the Feds favoured inflation gauge released on Friday.
Charts To Watch GBPJPY With the Bank of Japan set to release their latest monetary policy on Tuesday and UK CPI released Wednesday sets the scene for some volatility in this pair this week. The BoJ is expected to stand pat this time and seek gradual steps towards policy normalization. Traders will be watching for any hints of a BoJ pivot, and we could see a decent move in the Yen if they are forthcoming.
UK CPI will also be of note, after the Bank of England (unlike the Fed) pushed back somewhat against dovish rate expectations in their meeting last week, a figure outside range, especially to the downside should see a move in GBP as rates markets re-price. A widening gap in UK and JP 10 year yield differentials also putting pressure on the pair to the downside. AUDUSD AUDUSD rallied strongly last week on a weak USD and improved risk sentiment propping up the pair.
The 200 Day SMA which AUDUSD had been revolving around was broken decisively to the upside and saw AUDUSD hit 4-month highs before finding some resistance around 0.6728. Tuesday the RBA will be releasing their minutes from the December rate meeting where they could push back at the market’s view that rates have definitely peaked which would lend the AUD another tailwind. Friday see the US core PCE inflation figure released, where it is expected to hold steady at 0.2% for the month on month figure, though a beat to the upside could certainly test the market’s expectations of a dovish Fed going forward.
The weeks full calendar at the link below: GO Markets Economic Calendar
It was positive start to a new week for the Chinese electric vehicle company, NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO), after it announced a $2.2 billion strategic investment from an Abu Dhabi based investment firm CYVN Holdings on Monday. The deal is expected to be completed in the last week of December and it will make CYVN a major shareholder in the company with a 20.1% stake. ''Our increased investment in NIO represents a continuation of our ongoing strategy to build a leading global portfolio in the mobility space,'' Jassem Al Zaabi, Chairman and Managing Director of CYVN Holdings said in press release. ''This transaction demonstrates our confidence in NIO’s unique positioning and competitiveness in the global smart EV industry. We are excited to be a long-term strategic partner of NIO and support its efforts in product innovation, technological breakthroughs and international market expansion,'' Al Zaabi added.
William Li, CEO of NIO, also commented on the latest investment, highlighting the importance of the deal for the company: 'We are deeply inspired by CYVN’s vision to accelerate the global transition to a more sustainable future, and we appreciate its endorsement of NIO’s unique values. With the enhanced balance sheet, NIO is well prepared to sharpen brand positioning, bolster sales and service capabilities, and make long-term investment in core technologies to navigate the intensifying competitive landscape, while continually improving execution efficiency and system capabilities.' Company overview Founded: November 2014 Headquarters: Shanghai, China Number of employees: 20,000+ (2023) Industry: Automotive Key people: William Li (CEO), Lihong Qin (President), Wei Feng (CFO) Stock reaction The stock was initially up by around 11% in pre-market trading on Monday as the latest news were released. Shares were up by 4.64% at the of the day, trading at $8.35 a share – the highest level since 17/10/23.
Stock performance 1 month: +6.99% 3 months: -19.06% Year-to-date: -14.41% 1 year: -24.55% NIO stock price targets Deutsche Bank: $16 CMB International Securities: $9.20 UBS: $15 Daiwa: $11.80 HSBC: $12 Mizuho: $18 Bank of America: $15 JP Morgan: $10.50 Citigroup: $19.20 NIO Inc. is the 1130th largest and 5th largest electric vehicle company in the world with a market cap of $15.10 billion. You can trade NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. GO Markets now offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs.
Trade the pre-market session: 4:00am to 9:30am, normal session, and after-market session: 4:00pm to 8:00pm, Eastern Standard Time. Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps.
Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: NIO Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, TipRanks, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap
Chinese electric vehicle company, NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO), reported Q3 results before the opening bell in the US on Tuesday. Company overview Founded: November 2014 Headquarters: Shanghai, China Number of employees: 20,000+ (2023) Industry: Automotive Key people: William Li (CEO), Lihong Qin (President), Wei Feng (CFO) The results NIO reported revenue of $2.611 billion for the previous quarter, narrowly missing analyst estimate of $2.634 billion. Revenue was up by 46.6% year-over-year and up by 117.4% from Q2 2022.
The company reported loss per share of -$0.312 for Q3, which was below analyst estimate of -$0.351 loss per share. NIO delivered 55,432 cars during the quarter, setting a new quarterly record. CEO commentary "NIO delivered 55,432 vehicles in the third quarter of 2023, representing a solid year-over-year growth of 75.4% and setting a new record for quarterly delivery," William Li, CEO of NIO said in a statement. "According to the retail sales data from China Automotive Technology and Research Center, NIO ranked first in the battery electric vehicle market segment priced over RMB300,000 in China, with a market share of 45% in the third quarter of 2023," Li highlighted NIO’s position in the market. "We have recently completed a thorough review of the Company’s two-year operating plans to determine our objectives, priorities, and action plans.
Meanwhile, we have identified opportunities to optimize our organization, reduce costs and enhance efficiency. Our focus remains on advancing core technologies, developing key products, and expanding sales and service capabilities. We are confident in NIO's long-term competitiveness in the smart electric vehicle market," Li concluded.
Stock reaction Shares of NIO were up by over 3% on Tuesday, trading at around $7.55 a share. Stock performance 1 month: -3.36% 3 months: -29.46% Year-to-date: -21.79% 1 year: -42.41% NIO stock price targets Deutsche Bank: $16 CMB International Securities: $9.20 UBS: $15 Daiwa: $11.80 HSBC: $12 Mizuho: $18 Bank of America: $15 JP Morgan: $10.50 Citigroup: $19.20 NIO Inc. is the 1200th largest and 6th largest electric vehicle company in the world with a market cap of $13.5 billion. You can trade NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX, ASX, LSE and DE with GO Markets as a Share CFD.
GO Markets now offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Trade the pre-market session: 4:00am to 9:30am, normal session, and after-market session: 4:00pm to 8:00pm, Eastern Standard Time. Why trade during extended hours?
Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: NIO Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, TipRanks, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap
World’s 4th largest construction company, Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), released its fourth quarter and full-year of fiscal 2023 financial results after the market close on Wall Street on Thursday. Company overview Founded: 1954 Headquarters: Waterford District, unincorporated Miami-Dade County, Florida (Miami, Florida postal address) Number of employees: 12,012 (2022) Industry: Construction Key people: Stuart Miller (Executive Chairman, co-CEO), Jon Jaffe (co-CEO, President), Fred Rothman (COO) The results The US company reported revenue of $10.968 billion (an increase of 7.8% year-over-year) vs. $10.228 billion expected. Earnings per share (EPS) reached $4.82 per share for the quarter that ended on 30/11/2023 vs. $4.592 per share estimate.
EPS was up by 5.93% from the same period the year prior. Total revenue reached $34.2 billion for the fiscal year 2023 – up by 1.67% year-over-year. EPS was reported at $13.73 per share – down by 12.65% from 2022.
CEO commentary "We are pleased to report another strong quarter and year end, against the backdrop of evolving, though constructive, market conditions. During our fourth quarter, the economic environment shifted as interest rates rose for most of the quarter, and then subsided. Higher interest rates tested homebuyer sentiment, although purchasers remained responsive to incentives that enabled affordability.
The well documented production deficit and chronic supply shortage continued to result in housing demand outweighing short supply. These conditions remained constructive for our overall operating strategy of focusing on production and sales pace over price, generating strong cash flow, increasing returns on equity and assets, and driving a strong bottom line," co-CEO of Lennar commented on the latest results in a letter to investors and challenges for the company. Jon Jadde, co-CEO of the company pointed out some of the achievements from the fourth quarter and looked ahead of what the company expects to achieve moving forward: "Operationally, our starts in the fourth quarter were 18,378, up 43% year over year, our new orders were 17,366, up 32%, and our deliveries of 23,795 were up 19%.
We are clearly moving closer to an even flow operating model as we are now expecting approximately 18,500 starts, 18,000 new orders, and 17,000 deliveries in the first quarter of 2024. We expect more consistent results through the year as our cycle time is normalizing and was down 24% year over year as the improving supply chain and labor market positively impacted our production times and our inventory turn improved to 1.5 times reflecting broader efficiencies. Concurrently, the Lennar Machine continued to carefully match sales pace using our digital marketing and dynamic pricing models to keep production pace and sales pace closely matched." Stock reaction Shares of Lennar were up by 6.65% at the end of the trading session on Thursday, trading at $154.81 a share.
The stock price dipped by around 2% in the after-hours trading as the results were announced. Stock performance 1 month: +21.22% 3 months: +30.88% Year-to-date: +70.22% 1 year: +63.38% Costco stock price targets Barclays: $165 Jefferies Financial Group: $117 Wells Fargo: $130 JP Morgan: $135 JMP Securities: $150 Citigroup: $139 Royal Bank of Canada: $114 UBS Group: $159 Evercore ISI: $164 Wedbush: $123 Goldman Sachs: $142 Lennar Corporation is the 29th largest company in the world with a market cap of $281.37 billion. You can trade Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX, ASX, LSE and DE with GO Markets as a Share CFD.
GO Markets now offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Trade the pre-market session: 4:00am to 9:30am, normal session, and after-market session: 4:00pm to 8:00pm, Eastern Standard Time. Why trade during extended hours?
Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Lennar Corporation, TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap