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Economic Updates

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Economic Updates

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Risk events in the week ahead – BoE set to hike, US CPI

US stocks rallied strongly on Friday on a stronger than expected Jobs report, improved banking sentiment and strong earnings from Apple (AAPL) which saw the Nasdaq up over 2% and erasing the weeks losses to finish the first week of May modestly in the green. Non-farm payrolls smashed expectations, coming in at 253k new jobs created in April ...

May 8, 2023
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US stocks sink in risk off session as banking sector woes continue to weigh

US stocks indices finished in the red in a choppy session with more regional bank selling, mixed data releases (including a surge in US Labour Costs) and another hike out of the ECB keeping traders busy. All four major indexes finished broadly lower with financials leading the declines as more headlines hit the newswires regarding issues with re...

May 5, 2023
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Asian session update – risk returns

Asian indices and US futures have bounced back so far in the session after gapping down at the open after the news that another US bank could be in trouble, namely PacWest, which I’m pretty sure we’ll be hearing more about in the coming days. The ASX200 has recovered from its negative open, helped by a strong trade balance figure and is curr...

May 4, 2023
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US stocks tumble on Fed rate hike and “hawkish pause” – Futures down after market as banking crisis fears return

Asian equities are looking to open lower taking a lead from Wall St where US stocks finished in the red, with most losses coming after the FOMC decision late in the US session. The FOMC hiked rates 25bp as expected and released what was seen as a mostly dovish statement that left the door open for a pause, this saw market initially rally and cho...

May 4, 2023
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US stocks slide on weak JOLTS report and lingering bank fears ahead of FOMC

Risk off returned as US stock indices were broadly lower in Tuesdays session on JOLTS job opening data showing a rapid weakening of the US labour market and regional banks again resuming their slide on lingering fears of the health of the sector. All four major indices finished well in the red, with the home of the aforementioned regional banks, th...

May 3, 2023
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US stocks finish flat in choppy low volume session, JP Morgan buys First Republic

Major US indices finished little changed in a lighter than average session with London and Europe closed for the May Day holiday with traders looking ahead to a busy week in Central Bank action. The Dow Jones, S%P 500 and Nasdaq all finished modestly in the red, with the Russell 2000 being the only index to finish positively after a last-minute ...

May 2, 2023
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Key events in the week ahead – ECB, RBA and FOMC

US stocks rallied into month-end on Friday with the VIX falling beneath 16 to finish off a volatile but ultimately positive month for global markets despite news of another bank collapse in the US. Risk appetite returned on mostly strong US earnings and the markets belief we are close to the end of Central Bank hiking cycles, the Dow Jones having i...

May 1, 2023
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Asian session looking to open up after Wall St rallies on strong earnings and data releases – tech leads after Meta beats

US stock indices rallied as risk appetite returned as banking fears seemed to take back seat and strong tech earnings saw the bulls in charge. The Dow and S&P 500 had their best day since January while the Nasdaq led the charge higher, rallying almost 2.5% after impressive tech earnings continued with Meta rallying 14% in the session. Te...

April 28, 2023
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US Stocks finished mostly down on bank stress – Nasdaq lifted by tech earnings

Major US Stock indices were mixed in Wednesdays session after  further banking woes dragged down the Dow, S&P500 and Russell while the Nasdaq held up thanks to strong earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet. The Russell 2000 was again the underperformer as mid-sized bank worries continued, seeing First Republic Bank (FRC) dump another 30%, dra...

April 27, 2023
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US equities fall on soft data and re-ignited banking fears

US stocks were broadly lower in Tuesday’s session as another US bank teetered on the verge of collapse and weak Consumer Confidence figures saw investors heading for the door. In a continuation of banking jitters, First Republic Bank (FRC) plunges to record lows after an earnings miss and reporting record deposit outflows seeing the stock pric...

April 26, 2023
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Key Events in the Week Ahead – BoJ meeting, US GDP, Aussie CPI

Coming off a choppy and mostly directionless week for Global Markets, this coming week looks to be more of the same as we enter the Federal Reserve blackout period ahead of their pivotal meeting on May the 3rd. While the economic calendar is light, there are a few risk events that could see some volatility in the markets, starting Wednesday with...

April 24, 2023
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Mixed earnings, weak data and hawkish Fed speak see US stocks finish lower

US stocks finished broadly lower in Thursday’s session in a choppy, low volume session as economic disappointed, Fed talking heads remained hawkish and a mixed batch of earnings. The biggest miss in earnings was Tesla (TSLA) who’s aggressive price cutting saw profit margins compress, seeing the auto giant down almost 10% on the session and t...

April 21, 2023
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US Stocks finish mixed in choppy session after Hot UK CPI spooks the markets

Major US indexes finished mixed in a choppy session for equities and FX after a hotter than expected re-ignited inflation fears and a global hawkish re-pricing of risk assets. Decent earnings and the big bounce back in Netflix encouraged the “Buy the Dip” crowd, pulling stocks up from their lows to see the major US indexes finish mostly flat...

April 20, 2023
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US stocks finish flat on hawkish Fed Speak and mixed data, Netflix has a wild ride on earnings

Tuesday’s session ultimately saw little change in major US indexes in an impressive round trip that initially saw a higher opening as strong Chinese GDP figures cheered investors, only to sell off on Hawkish Fed Speak and mixed earnings results before recovering somewhat to finish (mostly) modestly lower, with only the S&P 500 able to eke out...

April 19, 2023
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Key events in the week ahead – Activity data dominates

After last week’s Inflation themed calendar, we head into the new week where the main theme will be activity data with a raft of manufacturing and services PMI figures from the UK, Eurozone and the US. some of which will help determine what happens at the forthcoming round of central bank rate decisions in the coming weeks. USA With the mar...

April 17, 2023
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